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Spillover effects from new housing supply

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  • González-Pampillón, Nicolás

Abstract

I estimate spillovers from new housing supply on house prices. To estimate these effects, I use exogenous variation in supply induced by a housing subsidy implemented in middle-income neighborhoods in the city of Montevideo, Uruguay. I find evidence of externalities from the new supply on house prices, with prices increasing 12%. I explore two possible mechanisms of these externalities: income and crime rates. Although the evidence suggests a reduction in property crime rates, changes in the neighborhood income mix due to the supply expansion represent an important contributor to the external effects. These findings underline the role of amenities in the determination of local house prices.

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  • González-Pampillón, Nicolás, 2022. "Spillover effects from new housing supply," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:92:y:2022:i:c:s0166046221001198
    DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2021.103759
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    1. Carozzi, Felipe & Hilber, Christian A.L. & Yu, Xiaolun, 2024. "On the economic impacts of mortgage credit expansion policies: Evidence from help to buy," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing supply; Neighborhood change; Housing prices; Crime;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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