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First-day criminal recidivism


  • Munyo, Ignacio
  • Rossi, Martín A.


We report that on any given day the number of inmates released from incarceration significantly affects the number of offenses committed this day, and we name this as first-day recidivism. Our estimates of this novel approach to study early recidivism are robust to a variety of alternative model specifications. We then show that first-day recidivism can be eliminated by an increase in the gratuity provided to prisoners at the time of their release. A simple cost–benefit analysis shows that increasing the gratuity at release is a very efficient policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Munyo, Ignacio & Rossi, Martín A., 2015. "First-day criminal recidivism," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 81-90.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pubeco:v:124:y:2015:i:c:p:81-90 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.12.002

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Galbiati, Roberto & Ouss, Aurélie & Philippe, Arnaud, 2017. "Jobs, News and Re-offending after Incarceration," IAST Working Papers 17-71, Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse (IAST).

    More about this item


    Recidivism; Property crime; Liquidity constraints;

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law


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