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Jobs, News and Reoffending after Incarceration

Author

Listed:
  • Roberto Galbiati

    (ECON - Département d'économie (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Aurélie Ouss

    (University of Pennsylvania [Philadelphia])

  • Arnaud Philippe

    (University of Bristol [Bristol])

Abstract

While theoretically important, the relationship between crime and employment is difficult to measure empirically. This paper addresses major identification challenges by exploiting high frequency data of daily online postings on job openings and closings at the county level, merged with individual-level administrative data about all inmates released from French prisons. We find that people who are released when jobs are being created are less likely to recidivate; conversely, people who are released when jobs are being cut are more likely to recidivate. We further show that news on job creation matters, over and beyond actual employment opportunities, suggesting implications for crime-control policies. From a methodological standpoint, this paper demonstrates how using media and online information on jobs can generate higher-frequency variation than administrative employment data, and help to overcome identification challenges to capture effects of variations in job market opportunities, especially when combined with other administrative sources.
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Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Galbiati & Aurélie Ouss & Arnaud Philippe, 2020. "Jobs, News and Reoffending after Incarceration," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-02957423, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-02957423
    DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueaa057
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    Cited by:

    1. Erkmen G. Aslim & Murat C. Mungan & Carlos I. Navarro & Han Yu, 2022. "The Effect of Public Health Insurance on Criminal Recidivism," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 45-91, January.
    2. Fone, Zachary S. & Sabia, Joseph J. & Cesur, Resul, 2023. "The unintended effects of minimum wage increases on crime," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    3. Bastien Michel & Camille Hémet, 2022. "Custodial versus non-custodial sentences: Long-run evidence from an anticipated reform," PSE Working Papers halshs-03899897, HAL.
    4. Benjamin Monnery & Saïd Souam & Anna Montagutelli, 2021. "Economie du travail en prison : enjeux, résultats et recommandations," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-26, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    5. Zachary S. Fone & Joseph J. Sabia & Resul Cesur, 2019. "Do Minimum Wage Increases Reduce Crime?," NBER Working Papers 25647, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Amanda Y. Agan & Michael D. Makowsky, 2023. "The Minimum Wage, EITC, and Criminal Recidivism," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 58(5), pages 1712-1751.
    7. Laine, Riku & Aaltonen, Mikko & Myrskylä, Mikko & Martikainen, Pekka, 2024. "Sociohistorical context and post-prison life course," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    8. Kevin Schnepel, 2017. "Do post-prison job opportunities reduce recidivism?," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 399-399, November.
    9. Street, Brittany, 2025. "The impact of economic opportunity on criminal behavior: Evidence from the fracking boom," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).

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