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On the Implementation of Approximate Randomization Tests in Linear Models with a Small Number of Clusters

Author

Listed:
  • Cai Yong
  • Canay Ivan A.
  • Kim Deborah

    (Department of Economics, Northwestern University, Evanston, USA)

  • Shaikh Azeem M.

    (Department of Economics, University of Chicago, Chicago, USA)

Abstract

This paper provides a user’s guide to the general theory of approximate randomization tests developed in Canay, Romano, and Shaikh (2017a. “Randomization Tests under an Approximate Symmetry Assumption.” Econometrica 85 (3): 1013–30) when specialized to linear regressions with clustered data. An important feature of the methodology is that it applies to settings in which the number of clusters is small – even as small as five. We provide a step-by-step algorithmic description of how to implement the test and construct confidence intervals for the parameter of interest. In doing so, we additionally present three novel results concerning the methodology: we show that the method admits an equivalent implementation based on weighted scores; we show the test and confidence intervals are invariant to whether the test statistic is studentized or not; and we prove convexity of the confidence intervals for scalar parameters. We also articulate the main requirements underlying the test, emphasizing in particular common pitfalls that researchers may encounter. Finally, we illustrate the use of the methodology with two applications that further illuminate these points: one to a linear regression with clustered data based on Meng, Qian, and Yared (2015. “The Institutional Causes of china’s Great Famine, 1959–1961.” The Review of Economic Studies 82 (4): 1568–611) and a second to a linear regression with temporally dependent data based on Munyo and Rossi (2015. “First-day Criminal Recidivism.” Journal of Public Economics 124: 81–90). The companion R and Stata packages facilitate the implementation of the methodology and the replication of the empirical exercises.

Suggested Citation

  • Cai Yong & Canay Ivan A. & Kim Deborah & Shaikh Azeem M., 2023. "On the Implementation of Approximate Randomization Tests in Linear Models with a Small Number of Clusters," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 85-103, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:jecome:v:12:y:2023:i:1:p:85-103:n:1
    DOI: 10.1515/jem-2021-0030
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. Colin Cameron & Jonah B. Gelbach & Douglas L. Miller, 2008. "Bootstrap-Based Improvements for Inference with Clustered Errors," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(3), pages 414-427, August.
    2. Timothy Conley & Silvia Gonçalves & Christian Hansen, 2018. "Inference with Dependent Data in Accounting and Finance Applications," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(4), pages 1139-1203, September.
    3. Rustam Ibragimov & Ulrich K. Müller, 2016. "Inference with Few Heterogeneous Clusters," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 98(1), pages 83-96, March.
    4. Ivan A Canay & Vishal Kamat, 2018. "Approximate Permutation Tests and Induced Order Statistics in the Regression Discontinuity Design," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 85(3), pages 1577-1608.
    5. Ivan A. Canay & Joseph P. Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh, 2017. "Randomization Tests Under an Approximate Symmetry Assumption," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 1013-1030, May.
    6. Munyo, Ignacio & Rossi, Martín A., 2015. "First-day criminal recidivism," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 81-90.
    7. Marianne Bertrand & Esther Duflo & Sendhil Mullainathan, 2004. "How Much Should We Trust Differences-In-Differences Estimates?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(1), pages 249-275.
    8. Ibragimov, Rustam & Müller, Ulrich K., 2010. "t-Statistic Based Correlation and Heterogeneity Robust Inference," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(4), pages 453-468.
    9. DiCiccio, Cyrus J. & DiCiccio, Thomas J. & Romano, Joseph P., 2020. "Exact tests via multiple data splitting," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. MacKinnon, James G. & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Webb, Matthew D., 2023. "Cluster-robust inference: A guide to empirical practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 272-299.
    2. James J. Heckman & Rodrigo Pinto & Azeem Shaikh, 2023. "Dealing with Imperfect Randomization: Inference for the HighScope Perry Preschool Program," NBER Working Papers 31982, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Yong Cai, 2021. "Panel Data with Unknown Clusters," Papers 2106.05503, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    4. Michael P. Leung, 2023. "Network Cluster‐Robust Inference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(2), pages 641-667, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    randomization tests; linear regression; clustered data; time series;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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