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Supply Shock Versus Demand Shock: The Local Effects of New Housing in Low-Income Areas

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We study the local effects of new market-rate housing in low-income areas using microdata on large apartment buildings, rents, and migration. New buildings decrease nearby rents by 5 to 7 percent relative to locations slightly farther away or developed later, and they increase in-migration from low-income areas. Results are driven by a large supply effect—we show that new buildings absorb many high-income households—that overwhelms any offsetting endogenous amenity effect. The latter may be small because most new buildings go into already-changing areas. Contrary to common concerns, new buildings slow local rent increases rather than initiate or accelerate them.

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  • Brian Asquith & Evan Mast & Davin Reed, 2020. "Supply Shock Versus Demand Shock: The Local Effects of New Housing in Low-Income Areas," Working Papers 20-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedpwp:87487
    DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2020.07
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Skyscrapers and Housing Affordability: Debunking Misconceptions
      by Jason Barr in Skynomics Blog on 2021-03-23 12:10:58

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    Cited by:

    1. Jung Sakong, 2021. "Effect of Ownership Composition on Property Prices and Rents: Evidence from Chinese Investment Boom in US Housing Markets," Working Paper Series WP-2021-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    2. Nicholas Chiumenti & Aradhya Sood, 2022. "Local Zoning Laws and the Supply of Multifamily Housing in Greater Boston," New England Public Policy Center Research Report 22-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    3. Jiafeng Chen & Edward Glaeser & David Wessel, 2022. "JUE Insight: The (Non-)Effect of Opportunity Zones on Housing Prices," Papers 2204.06967, arXiv.org.
    4. Michael Klien & Gerhard Streicher, 2021. "Ökonomische Wirkungen des gemeinnützigen Wohnbaus," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66962, April.
    5. Chatman, Daniel G. PhD & Barbour, Elisa PhD & Kerzhner, Tamara & Manville, Michael PhD & Reid, Carolina PhD, 2023. "Policies to Improve Transportation Sustainability, Accessibility, and Housing Affordability in the State of California," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt03z7t8r1, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    6. Geoff Boeing & Max Besbris & David Wachsmuth & Jake Wegmann, 2021. "Tilted Platforms: Rental Housing Technology and the Rise of Urban Big Data Oligopolies," Papers 2108.08229, arXiv.org.
    7. Mast, Evan, 2023. "JUE Insight: The effect of new market-rate housing construction on the low-income housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Reher, Michael, 2021. "Finance and the supply of housing quality," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 357-376.
    9. Michael Manville & Michael Lens & Paavo Monkkonen, 2022. "Zoning and affordability: A reply to Rodríguez-Pose and Storper," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 59(1), pages 36-58, January.
    10. Chen, Jiafeng & Glaeser, Edward & Wessel, David, 2023. "JUE Insight: The (non-)effect of opportunity zones on housing prices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing supply; housing affordability; gentrification; amenities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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