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Testing the international linkage in the platinum-group metal futures markets

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  • Aruga, Kentaka
  • Managi, Shunsuke

Abstract

This study tests whether an international market exists in the platinum-group metal (PGM) futures markets. For this purpose, we tested the law of one price (LOP) and the causality between the U.S. and Japanese platinum and palladium futures markets. We also performed the test when structural breaks are considered. Long-run price relationships were found in both platinum and palladium markets but the LOP only sustained in the palladium market. The causality test revealed that it is the U.S. market that leads the price to transmit information between the U.S. and Japanese markets. Structural breaks had large impacts on the test results, suggesting that incorporating breaks is important when investigating the international price linkage in the PGM futures markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Aruga, Kentaka & Managi, Shunsuke, 2011. "Testing the international linkage in the platinum-group metal futures markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 339-345.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:36:y:2011:i:4:p:339-345
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2011.09.003
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    Cited by:

    1. Sinha, Pankaj & Mathur, Kritika, 2016. "Linkages between Gold Futures Traded in Indian Commodity Futures Market and International Commodity Futures Market," MPRA Paper 72967, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Bao, Dun, 2020. "Dynamics and correlation of platinum-group metals spot prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    3. Aruga Kentaka, 2011. "Market Efficiency in the Non-Genetically Modified Soybean Futures Market," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Bosch, David & Pradkhan, Elina, 2015. "The impact of speculation on precious metals futures markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 118-134.
    5. Shen, Junjie & Huang, Shupei, 2022. "Copper cross-market volatility transition based on a coupled hidden Markov model and the complex network method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Fernandez, Viviana, 2017. "Some facts on the platinum-group elements," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 333-347.
    7. Aboura Sofiane & Chevallier Julien & Jammazi Rania & Tiwari Aviral Kumar, 2016. "The place of gold in the cross-market dependencies," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(5), pages 567-586, December.
    8. Kentaka Aruga & Shunsuke Managi, 2012. "Testing the effects of the Japanese vehicle emission-control law on the international palladium futures market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(2), pages 1198-1207.
    9. Sinha, Pankaj & Mathur, Kritika, 2013. "Price, Return and Volatility Linkages of Base Metal Futures traded in India," MPRA Paper 47864, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Aruga, Kentaka, 2013. "The U.S. Shale Gas Revolution and Its Effect on International Gas Markets," MPRA Paper 49545, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Causality test; Cointegration; Law of one price; PGM futures market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • L61 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Metals and Metal Products; Cement; Glass; Ceramics

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