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Testing for Cointegration in the Presence of Moving Average Errors

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  • Mallory, M.
  • Lence, Sergio H.

Abstract

This study explores performance of the Johansen cointegration statistics on data containingnegative moving average (NMA) errors. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate that the asymptoticdistributions of the statistics are sensitive to NMA parameters, and that using the standard 5%asymptotic critical values results in severe underestimation of the actual test sizes. We demonstratethat problems associated with NMA errors do not decrease as sample size increases; instead,they become more severe. Further we examine evidence that many U.S. commodity prices arecharacterized by NMA errors. Pretesting data is recommended before using standard asymptoticcritical values for Johansen's cointegration tests

Suggested Citation

  • Mallory, M. & Lence, Sergio H., 2012. "Testing for Cointegration in the Presence of Moving Average Errors," Staff General Research Papers Archive 36076, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:36076
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2017. "Electricity Consumption and Exports Growth: Revisiting the Feedback Hypothesis," MPRA Paper 81756, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.
    2. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2015. "The Impossible Trinity and Financial Markets – An Examination of Inflation Volatility Spillovers," MPRA Paper 77923, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    3. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2015. "The Fisher Effect Using Differences in The Deterministic Term," MPRA Paper 77921, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    4. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2015. "On Exports and Economic Growth-Multifarious Economies Perspective," MPRA Paper 77922, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    5. Burak Eroglu, 2017. "Wavelet Variance Ratio Test And Wavestrapping For The Determination Of The Cointegration Rank," Working Papers 1706, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
    6. repec:rsr:journl:v:65:y:2017:i:3:p:17-34 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Burak Eroglu & Kemal Caglar Gogebakan & Mirza Trokic, 2017. "Fractional Seasonal Variance Ratio Unit Root Tests," Working Papers 1707, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegration; Johansen cointegration test; moving average;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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