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The impact of financial crises and tolerance for uncertainty

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  • Inklaar, Robert
  • Yang, Jing

Abstract

Financial crises can have severe negative effects on investment. One reason for this is that financial crises increase uncertainty, increasing the real option value of delaying investment. In this paper, we show that the negative effect of crises on investment differs significantly across countries: in countries with low tolerance for uncertainty, the negative effect is strong. The negative effect is absent in countries that are more tolerant of uncertainty. These findings are similar across different types of financial crisis; they vary as predicted across type of investor, asset and industry; and they are not driven by uncertainty-averse countries adopting more rigid institutions.

Suggested Citation

  • Inklaar, Robert & Yang, Jing, 2012. "The impact of financial crises and tolerance for uncertainty," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 466-480.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:deveco:v:97:y:2012:i:2:p:466-480
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2011.05.011
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    Cited by:

    1. Marko Peric & Vanja Vitezic, 2016. "Impact of global economic crisis on firm growth," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 1-12, January.
    2. repec:sgm:pzwzuw:v:1:i:1:y:2013:p:12-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Klasing, Mariko J., 2013. "Cultural dimensions, collective values and their importance for institutions," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 447-467.
    4. repec:sgm:resrep:y:2013:v:2013:i:1:p:56-78 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Diogo Barbosa & Vitor M. Carvalho & Paulo J. Pereira, 2013. "The interaction between firms and Government in the context of investment decisions: a real options approach," FEP Working Papers 507, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    6. Marko Peric & Vanja Vitezic, 2016. "Impact of global economic crisis on firm growth," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 1-12, January.
    7. Wieslaw Danielak, 2013. "Zmiany w sferze konsumpcji w wybranych krajach europejskich a kryzys gospodarczy. (Changes in consumption in selected European countries and economic crisis.)," Problemy Zarzadzania, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 11(40), pages 12-22.
    8. repec:sgm:pzwzuw:v:1:y:2013:p:12-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Tomasz Zalega, 2013. "Alternative consumption trends in Polish urban households in the period of crisis (Alternatywne trendy konsumenckie w miejskich gospodarstwach domowych w Polsce w okresie kryzysu)," Research Reports, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(16), pages 56-78.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crisis; Uncertainty avoidance; Investment;

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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