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The Impact of Stock Market Development on Inflation and Economic Growth of 16 Asian Countries: A Panel VAR Approach


  • Rudra P. PRADHAN
  • Mak B. ARVIN
  • Shilpa TANEJA


Empirical macroeconomists have investigated the possible link between the development of stock markets, economic growth, and inflation separately. Unlike earlier work, this paper investigates the nature of causal relations between these variables using a panel Granger causality test on a sample of 16 Asian countries over 1988-2012. Employing a panel vector autoregressive (VAR) model, our results also reveal that these variables are cointegrated, suggesting presence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among them.

Suggested Citation

  • Rudra P. PRADHAN & Mak B. ARVIN & Bele SAMADHAN & Shilpa TANEJA, 2013. "The Impact of Stock Market Development on Inflation and Economic Growth of 16 Asian Countries: A Panel VAR Approach," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 203-218.
  • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:13:y:2013:i:1_16

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. repec:eee:quaeco:v:66:y:2017:i:c:p:136-148 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Norman, Neville R., 2015. "Insurance development and the finance-growth nexus: Evidence from 34 OECD countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-22.
    3. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Hall, John H. & Bahmani, Sahar, 2014. "Causal nexus between economic growth, banking sector development, stock market development, and other macroeconomic variables: The case of ASEAN countries," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 155-173.
    4. Magda Kandil & Muhammad Shahbaz & Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2017. "The drivers of economic growth in China and India: globalization or financial development?," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 16(1), pages 54-84, April.
    5. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, B. Mak & Norman, Neville R. & Nair, Mahendhiran & Hall, John H., 2016. "Insurance penetration and economic growth nexus: Cross-country evidence from ASEAN," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 447-458.
    6. Zhang, Yu Yvette & Boadu, Frederick O., 2012. "Stock Exchange Development and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124608, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & Sara E. Bennett & Mahendhiran Nair & John H. Hall, 2016. "Bond Market Development, Economic Growth and Other Macroeconomic Determinants: Panel VAR Evidence," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 23(2), pages 175-201, June.

    More about this item


    stock market developments; inflation; economic growth; panel VAR.;

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • O43 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Institutions and Growth
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation


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