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Contagion, Liberalization, and the Optimal Structure of Globalization

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  • Stiglitz Joseph E.

    (Columbia University)

Abstract

Advocates of capital market liberalization argue that it leads to greater stability: countries faced with a negative shock borrow from the rest of the world, allowing cross-country smoothing. There is considerable evidence against this conclusion. This paper explores one reason: integration can exacerbate contagion; a failure in one country can more easily spread to others. It derives conditions under which such adverse effects overwhelm the putative positive effects. It explains how capital controls can be welfare enhancing, reducing the risk of adverse effects from contagion. This paper presents an analytic framework within which we can begin to address broader questions of optimal economic architectures.

Suggested Citation

  • Stiglitz Joseph E., 2010. "Contagion, Liberalization, and the Optimal Structure of Globalization," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 1(2), pages 1-47, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:globdv:v:1:y:2010:i:2:n:2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Elisabetta Croci Angelini & Francesco Farina & Enzo Valentini, 2016. "Contagion across Eurozone’s sovereign spreads and the Core-Periphery divide," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 43(1), pages 197-213, February.
    2. repec:kap:porgrv:v:17:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s11115-016-0352-4 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Iván Arribas & Jesús Peiró-Palomino & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2015. "Is full banking integration desirable?," Working Papers 2015/05, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    4. Blouin, Arthur & Ghosal, Sayantan & Mukand, Sharun, 2011. "Globalization and the (Mis)Governance of Nations," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 69, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    5. Lukas Scheffknecht, 2013. "Contextualizing Systemic Risk," ROME Working Papers 201317, ROME Network.
    6. Edirisinghe, Chanaka & Gupta, Aparna & Roth, Wendy, 2015. "Risk assessment based on the analysis of the impact of contagion flow," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 209-223.
    7. Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2017. "Where Modern Macroeconomics Went Wrong," NBER Working Papers 23795, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Pawe{l} Smaga & Mateusz Wili'nski & Piotr Ochnicki & Piotr Arendarski & Tomasz Gubiec, 2016. "Can banks default overnight? Modeling endogenous contagion on O/N interbank market," Papers 1603.05142, arXiv.org.

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