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An Application of Extreme Value Theory for Measuring Financial Risk

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. David E. Giles & Qinlu Chen, 2014. "Risk Analysis for Three Precious Metals: An Application of Extreme Value Theory," Econometrics Working Papers 1402, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
  2. Asima Saleem, 2022. "Action for Action: Mad COVID-19, Falling Markets and Rising Volatility of SAARC Region," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 33-54, February.
  3. Dey Ashim Kumar & Das Kumer Pial, 2020. "Predicting Federal Funds Rate Using Extreme Value Theory," Stochastics and Quality Control, De Gruyter, vol. 35(1), pages 1-15, June.
  4. Nathalie HILMI & Alain SAFA & Victor PLANAS-BIELSA & Yasser KADMIRI & Mine CINAR, 2017. "Ocean acidification in the Middle East and North African region," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 46, pages 43-57.
  5. Małgorzata Just & Krzysztof Echaust, 2021. "An Optimal Tail Selection in Risk Measurement," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-16, April.
  6. repec:czx:journl:v:19:y:2012:i:29:id:192 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Bertrand Maillet & Jean-Philippe Médecin & Thierry Michel, 2009. "High Watermarks of Market Risks," Post-Print halshs-00425585, HAL.
  8. Marco Rocco, 2011. "Extreme value theory for finance: a survey," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 99, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  9. Krzysztof Echaust & Małgorzata Just, 2020. "Value at Risk Estimation Using the GARCH-EVT Approach with Optimal Tail Selection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-24, January.
  10. Benjamin R. Auer & Benjamin Mögel, 2016. "How Accurate are Modern Value-at-Risk Estimators Derived from Extreme Value Theory?," CESifo Working Paper Series 6288, CESifo.
  11. Mario Domingues de Paula Simões & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto & Leonardo Lima Gomes, 2016. "Electricity prices forecast analysis using the extreme value theory," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(1), pages 1-22.
  12. Ahmed, Dilan & Soleymani, Fazlollah & Ullah, Malik Zaka & Hasan, Hataw, 2021. "Managing the risk based on entropic value-at-risk under a normal-Rayleigh distribution," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 402(C).
  13. Carlin C. F. Chu & Simon S. W. Li, 2024. "A multiobjective optimization approach for threshold determination in extreme value analysis for financial time series," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-14, June.
  14. Julia S. Mehlitz & Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Time‐varying dynamics of expected shortfall in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 895-925, June.
  15. Singh, Abhay K. & Allen, David E. & Robert, Powell J., 2013. "Extreme market risk and extreme value theory," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 310-328.
  16. Gonzales-Martínez, Rolando, 2008. "Medidas de Riesgo Financiero y una Aplicación a las Variaciones de Depósitos del Sistema Financiero Boliviano [Risk Measures and an Application to the Withdrawals of Deposits in the Bolivian Financial System]," MPRA Paper 14700, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  17. Amira Dridi & Mohamed El Ghourabi & Mohamed Limam, 2012. "On monitoring financial stress index with extreme value theory," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 329-339, March.
  18. Masih-Tehrani, Behdad & Xu, Susan H. & Kumara, Soundar & Li, Haijun, 2011. "A single-period analysis of a two-echelon inventory system with dependent supply uncertainty," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(8), pages 1128-1151, September.
  19. Renan O. Regis & Raydonal Ospina & Wilton Bernardino & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2023. "Asset pricing in the Brazilian financial market: five-factor GAMLSS modeling," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2373-2409, May.
  20. Gerlach, Richard & Wang, Chao, 2020. "Semi-parametric dynamic asymmetric Laplace models for tail risk forecasting, incorporating realized measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 489-506.
  21. Marcin Pitera & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Estimating and backtesting risk under heavy tails," Papers 2010.09937, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  22. repec:osf:africa:hf7vk_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  23. Feng, Zhen-Hua & Wei, Yi-Ming & Wang, Kai, 2012. "Estimating risk for the carbon market via extreme value theory: An empirical analysis of the EU ETS," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 97-108.
  24. M. Naresh Kumar & V. Sree Hari Rao, 2015. "A New Methodology for Estimating Internal Credit Risk and Bankruptcy Prediction under Basel II Regime," Papers 1502.00882, arXiv.org.
  25. Chaudhry, Sajid M. & Ahmed, Rizwan & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Benjasak, Chonlakan, 2022. "Tail risk and systemic risk of finance and technology (FinTech) firms," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  26. Mizgier, Kamil J. & Hora, Manpreet & Wagner, Stephan M. & Jüttner, Matthias P., 2015. "Managing operational disruptions through capital adequacy and process improvement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 245(1), pages 320-332.
  27. Moch Panji Agung Saputra & Diah Chaerani & Sukono & Mazlynda Md. Yusuf, 2023. "Reserve Fund Optimization Model for Digital Banking Transaction Risk with Extreme Value-at-Risk Constraints," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-16, August.
  28. M. Naresh Kumar & V. Sree Hari Rao, 2015. "A New Methodology for Estimating Internal Credit Risk and Bankruptcy Prediction under Basel II Regime," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 46(1), pages 83-102, June.
  29. Zhang, Hanxiong & Auer, Benjamin R. & Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2018. "Performance ranking (dis)similarities in commodity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 115-137.
  30. Salhi, Khaled & Deaconu, Madalina & Lejay, Antoine & Champagnat, Nicolas & Navet, Nicolas, 2016. "Regime switching model for financial data: Empirical risk analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 461(C), pages 148-157.
  31. Giuseppe Storti & Chao Wang, 2021. "Modelling uncertainty in financial tail risk: a forecast combination and weighted quantile approach," Papers 2104.04918, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
  32. Feng Ren & David Giles, 2010. "Extreme value analysis of daily Canadian crude oil prices," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(12), pages 941-954.
  33. Allen, David E. & Singh, Abhay K. & Powell, Robert J., 2013. "EVT and tail-risk modelling: Evidence from market indices and volatility series," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 355-369.
  34. Muteba Mwamba, John W. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Financial tail risks in conventional and Islamic stock markets: A comparative analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 60-82.
  35. Jacob Gyntelberg & Eli M Remolona, 2007. "Risk in carry trades: a look at target currencies in Asia and the Pacific," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
  36. Bi, Guang & Giles, David E., 2009. "Modelling the financial risk associated with U.S. movie box office earnings," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 2759-2766.
  37. Karim, Sitara & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "When one domino falls, others follow: A machine learning analysis of extreme risk spillovers in developed stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  38. Delson Chikobvu & Thabani Ndlovu, 2023. "The Generalised Extreme Value Distribution Approach to Comparing the Riskiness of BitCoin/US Dollar and South African Rand/US Dollar Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-16, April.
  39. Christian Biener & Martin Eling & Jan Hendrik Wirfs, 2015. "Insurability of Cyber Risk: An Empirical Analysis†," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 40(1), pages 131-158, January.
  40. Montshioa, Keitumetse & Muteba Mwamba, John Weirstrass & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2021. "Asset allocation in extreme market conditions: a comparative analysis between developed and emerging economies," MPRA Paper 106248, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  41. Li, Longqing, 2017. "A Comparative Study of GARCH and EVT Model in Modeling Value-at-Risk," MPRA Paper 85645, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  42. Khamis Hamed Al‐Yahyaee & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Walid Mensi & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2021. "Is there a systemic risk between Sharia, Sukuk, and GCC stock markets? A ΔCoVaR risk metric‐based copula approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2904-2926, April.
  43. Byulent Idirizov, 2025. "Analysis of the Bulgarian Housing Price Index: Risks, Market Dynamics, and Economic Implications," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 175-195.
  44. John Kwaku Mensah Mawutor & Kezia Bortey & Bernardine Ansah & Faustina Osei- Frimpong & Worlanyo Kumassah, 2015. "Credit Risk Management and Profitability of Banks Listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange," International Journal of Empirical Finance, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 4(7), pages 396-406.
  45. Knowledge Chinhamu & Chun-Kai Huang & Chun-Sung Huang & Jahvaid Hammujuddy, 2015. "Empirical Analyses of Extreme Value Models for the South African Mining Index," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(1), pages 41-55, March.
  46. Rashid Nikzad & David McDonald, 2017. "Extreme Value Theory with an Application to Bank Failures through Contagion," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 7(3), pages 1-6.
  47. Suarez, R, 2001. "Improving Modeling of Extreme Events using Generalized Extreme Value Distribution or Generalized Pareto Distribution with Mixing Unconditional Disturbances," MPRA Paper 17443, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  48. Minkah, Richard & de Wet, Tertius & Ghosh, Abhik, 2022. "Robust Extreme Quantile Estimation for Pareto-Type tails through an Exponential Regression Model," AfricArxiv hf7vk, Center for Open Science.
  49. Michael Bloss & Dietmar Ernst & Leander Geisinger, 2025. "Extreme Value Theory and Gold Price Extremes, 1975–2025: Long-Term Evidence on Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-35, October.
  50. Marco Flores, 2013. "Cuantificación del riesgo operacional mediante modelos de pérdidas agregadas y simulación de Monte Carlo," Analítika, Analítika - Revista de Análisis Estadístico/Journal of Statistical Analysis, vol. 5(1), pages 39-48, Junio.
  51. Suarez, Ronny, 2009. "Improving Modeling of Extreme Events using Generalized Extreme Value Distribution or Generalized Pareto Distribution with Mixing Unconditional Disturbances," MPRA Paper 17482, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  52. Jian Zhou & Randy Anderson, 2012. "Extreme Risk Measures for International REIT Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 152-170, June.
  53. Zhi-Fu Mi & Yue-Jun Zhang, 2011. "Estimating the 'value at risk' of EUA futures prices based on the extreme value theory," International Journal of Global Energy Issues, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 35(2/3/4), pages 145-157.
  54. Smith, Curtis L., 2020. "Representing external hazard initiating events using a Bayesian approach and a generalized extreme value model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  55. Yunhan Li & J. Scott Shonkwiler, 2021. "Assessing the Role of Ordering in Sequential English Auctions – Evidence from the Online Western Video Market Auction," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(1), pages 90-105, January.
  56. Davide Ferrari & Sandra Paterlini, 2009. "The Maximum Lq-Likelihood Method: An Application to Extreme Quantile Estimation in Finance," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 3-19, March.
  57. Chiara Lattanzi & Manuele Leonelli, 2019. "A changepoint approach for the identification of financial extreme regimes," Papers 1902.09205, arXiv.org.
  58. Yong Ma & Zhengjun Zhang & Weiguo Zhang & Weidong Xu, 2015. "Evaluating the Default Risk of Bond Portfolios with Extreme Value Theory," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 45(4), pages 647-668, April.
  59. Benjamin Mögel & Benjamin R. Auer, 2018. "How accurate are modern Value-at-Risk estimators derived from extreme value theory?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 979-1030, May.
  60. Kokoszka Piotr & Miao Hong & Stoev Stilian & Zheng Ben, 2019. "Risk Analysis of Cumulative Intraday Return Curves," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(2), pages 1-31, July.
  61. Davide Ferrari & Sandra Paterlini, 2007. "The Maximum Lq-Likelihood Method: an Application to Extreme Quantile Estimation in Finance," Department of Economics 555, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
  62. Bert Kramer, 2012. "CVaR optimization of real estate portfolios in an ALM context," ERES eres2012_019, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
  63. Xia Yang & Jing Zhang & Wei-Xin Ren, 2018. "Threshold selection for extreme value estimation of vehicle load effect on bridges," International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks, , vol. 14(2), pages 15501477187, February.
  64. Jittima Singvejsakul & Chukiat Chaiboonsri & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2021. "The Optimization of Bayesian Extreme Value: Empirical Evidence for the Agricultural Commodities in the US," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, March.
  65. Maashele Kholofelo Metwane & Daniel Maposa, 2023. "Extreme Value Theory Modelling of the Behaviour of Johannesburg Stock Exchange Financial Market Data," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-27, November.
  66. Heinz, Frigyes Ferdinand & Rusinova, Desislava, 2015. "An alternative view of exchange market pressure episodes in emerging Europe: an analysis using Extreme Value Theory (EVT)," Working Paper Series 1818, European Central Bank.
  67. Heba M. Ezzat, 2019. "Disposition effect and multi-asset market dynamics," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(2), pages 144-164, June.
  68. Huang, Chun-Kai & North, Delia & Zewotir, Temesgen, 2017. "Exchangeability, extreme returns and Value-at-Risk forecasts," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 477(C), pages 204-216.
  69. Manivelan, S.V. & Sabarathinam, S. & Thamilmaran, K. & Manimehan, I., 2024. "Dynamical instabilities cause extreme events in a theoretical Brusselator model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  70. Tomáš Jeøábek, 2020. "The Efficiency of GARCH Models in Realizing Value at Risk Estimates," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 14(1), pages 32-50.
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  72. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Montshioa, Keitumetse, 2024. "Navigating extreme market fluctuations: asset allocation strategies in developed vs. emerging economies," MPRA Paper 119910, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  73. Alex Huang, 2011. "Volatility Modeling by Asymmetrical Quadratic Effect with Diminishing Marginal Impact," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 37(3), pages 301-330, March.
  74. Xin Chen & Zhangming Shan & Decai Tang & Biao Zhou & Valentina Boamah, 2023. "Interest rate risk of Chinese commercial banks based on the GARCH-EVT model," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
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  79. Jian Zhou, 2012. "Extreme risk measures for REITs: a comparison among alternative methods," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 113-126, January.
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  81. Cifter, Atilla, 2011. "Value-at-risk estimation with wavelet-based extreme value theory: Evidence from emerging markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(12), pages 2356-2367.
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  83. Abdul-Aziz Ibn Musah & Jianguo Du & Hira Salah Ud din Khan & Alhassan Alolo Abdul-Rasheed Akeji, 2018. "The Asymptotic Decision Scenarios of an Emerging Stock Exchange Market: Extreme Value Theory and Artificial Neural Network," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-24, November.
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  87. Giuseppe Storti & Chao Wang, 2023. "Modeling uncertainty in financial tail risk: A forecast combination and weighted quantile approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1648-1663, November.
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