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Business Cycle Anatomy

Citations

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  2. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi-Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What moves treasury yields?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1016-1043.
  3. Molnárová, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2022. "Technology, demand, and productivity: What an industry model tells us about business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  4. Pintér, Gábor, 2022. "The procyclicality of inflation-linked debt," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
  5. Kame Babilla, Thierry U., 2023. "Digital innovation and financial access for small and medium-sized enterprises in a currency union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  6. Ascari, Guido & Fosso, Luca, 2024. "The international dimension of trend inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  7. Guido Ascari & Luca Fosso, 2021. "The Inflation Rate Disconnect Puzzle: On the International Component of Trend Inflation and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve," Discussion Papers 2113, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
  8. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Becard, Yvan & Gauthier, David, 2023. "Banks, nonbanks, and business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  10. Kim, Hyeongwoo & Shao, Peng & Zhang, Shuwei, 2023. "Policy coordination and the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  11. Di Casola, Paola & Sichlimiris, Spyridon, 2018. "Towards Technology-News-Driven Business Cycles," Working Paper Series 360, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
  12. Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo, 2025. "Forecast revisions as instruments for news shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  13. Bratsiotis, George J. & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2022. "Precautionary liquidity shocks, excess reserves and business cycles," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  14. Shi, Shuping & Yu, Jun & Zhang, Chen, 2024. "On the spectral density of fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 245(1).
  15. Ye Lu & Adrian Pagan, 2023. "To Boost or Not to Boost? That is the Question," CAMA Working Papers 2023-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  16. Christoph Gortz & Christopher Gunn & Thomas A. Lubik, 2024. "The Changing Nature of Technology Shocks," Working Paper 99119, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  17. Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2024. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequencies Matter," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(4), pages 811-832, August.
  18. Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Pål Ulvedal, 2025. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 35-70, January.
  19. Adams, Jonathan J., 2023. "Moderating noise-driven macroeconomic fluctuations under dispersed information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
  20. Ettore Gallo, 2023. "How Short Is the Short Run in the Neo-Kaleckian Growth Model?," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 687-701, July.
  21. Gianluca Cubadda, 2025. "VAR Models with an Index Structure: A Survey with New Results," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-17, October.
  22. Thomas Drechsel, 2023. "Earnings-Based Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 1-34, April.
  23. Granados, Camilo & Parra-Amado, Daniel, 2024. "Estimating the output gap after COVID: How to address unprecedented macroeconomic variations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  24. Angeletos, George-Marios & Iovino, Luigi & La'O, Jennifer, 2020. "Learning over the business cycle: Policy implications," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
  25. Chunbing Cai & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup & Zhongxi Zheng, 2025. "Endogenous Persistence at the Effective Lower Bound," Papers 2501.06473, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
  26. Moura, Alban, 2024. "Why You Should Never Use the Hodrick-Prescott Filter. A Comment on Hamilton (The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2018)," Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics (JCRE), ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 3, pages 1-17.
  27. Ilut, Cosmin & Saijo, Hikaru, 2021. "Learning, confidence, and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 354-376.
  28. Wu, Jieran, 2022. "Comments on “Sentiments and real business cycles”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  29. Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2026. "Using Transformers and Reinforcement Learning as Narrative Filters in Macroeconomics," Working Papers No 02/2026, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
  30. Han, Zhao, 2024. "Asymmetric information and misaligned inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  31. Gianluca Cubadda & Marco Mazzali, 2024. "The vector error correction index model: representation, estimation and identification," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 27(1), pages 126-150.
  32. Ángelo Gutiérrez-Daza, 2024. "Business Cycles when Consumers Learn by Shopping," Working Papers 2024-12, Banco de México.
  33. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "The identification of dominant macroeconomic drivers: coping with confounding shocks," Working Paper Series 2534, European Central Bank.
  34. Christian Matthes & Felipe Schwartzman, 2019. "The Demand Origins of Business Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 1122, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  35. Daragh Clancy & Lorenzo Ricci, 2022. "Economic sentiments and international risk sharing," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 208-229.
  36. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  37. Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Advances in nowcasting economic activity: The role of heterogeneous dynamics and fat tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
  38. Böhl, Gregor & Strobel, Felix, 2020. "US business cycle dynamics at the zero lower bound," IMFS Working Paper Series 143, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  39. Karl Naumann-Woleske & Michael Benzaquen & Maxim Gusev & Dimitri Kroujiline, 2021. "Capital Demand Driven Business Cycles: Mechanism and Effects," Papers 2110.00360, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  40. Ryan Chahrour & Vito Cormun & Pierre De Leo & Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Rosen Valchev, 2021. "Exchange Rate Disconnect Revisited," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1041, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 12 May 2023.
  41. Jonathan Adams & Philip Barrett, 2024. "Shocks to Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 54, October.
  42. Xu, Zhiwei & Zhou, Fei & Zhou, Jing, 2022. "Sentiments and real business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  43. Richard Kima & Keagile Lesame, 2025. "Macroeconomic effects of lowering South Africa's inflation target: An SVAR analysis," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2025-106, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  44. Huo, Zhen & Pedroni, Marcelo, 2023. "Dynamic information aggregation: Learning from the past," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 107-124.
  45. Dieppe,Alistair Matthew & Francis,Neville Ricardo & Kindberg-Hanlon,Gene, 2021. "Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9525, The World Bank.
  46. Nadav Ben Zeev, 2019. "Is There A Single Shock That Drives The Majority Of Business Cycle Fluctuations?," Working Papers 1906, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
  47. Patel, Nikhil & Peralta-Alva, Adrian, 2025. "High public debts: Are shocks or discretionary fiscal policy to blame?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  48. Christian Matthes & Felipe Schwartzman, 2019. "What Do Sectoral Dynamics Tell Us About the Origins of Business Cycles?," Working Paper 19-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  49. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
  50. Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019. "Money, Credit, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(5), pages 137-173, December.
  51. Christoph Gortz & Christopher Gunn & Thomas Lubik, 2022. "Split Personalities: The Changing Nature of Technology Shocks," Carleton Economic Papers 22-06, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
  52. Guay, Alain & Pelgrin, Florian, 2023. "Structural VAR models in the Frequency Domain," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
  53. Daragh Clancy & Lorenzo Ricci, 2019. "Loss aversion, economic sentiments and international consumption smoothing," Working Papers 35, European Stability Mechanism.
  54. Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2021. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/30, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  55. Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2021. "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2477-2499, November.
  56. Verbrugge, Randal & Zaman, Saeed, 2023. "The hard road to a soft landing: Evidence from a (modestly) nonlinear structural model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  57. Boss, Konstantin & Testa, Alessandra, 2025. "What goes around comes around: The US climate-economic cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  58. Martin Iseringhausen & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2025. "A survey-based measure of asymmetric macroeconomic risk in the euro area," Working Papers 68, European Stability Mechanism, revised 11 Feb 2025.
  59. Canova, Fabio & Ferroni, Filippo, 2020. "A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models," CEPR Discussion Papers 15446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  60. Randal Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman, 2024. "Post‐COVID inflation dynamics: Higher for longer," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 871-893, July.
  61. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "Technological and non-technological drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  62. Paras Sachdeva & Wasim Ahmad & N. R. Bhanumurthy, 2024. "Public expenditure multiplier across business cycle phases in an emerging economy: new empirical evidence and dimension," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 279-299, January.
  63. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2024. "The distributional effects of climate change. An empirical analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
  64. Daniel Parra-Amado & Camilo Granados, 2025. "Output Gap Measurement after COVID for Colombia: Lessons from a Permanent-Transitory Approach," Borradores de Economia 1295, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  65. Salha Ben Salem & Moez Labidi, 2024. "Financial friction and optimal monetary policy: analysis of DSGE model with financial friction and price sticky," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(7), pages 1-24, July.
  66. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2022. "Dimension Reduction for High‐Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1123-1152, October.
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