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Earnings-Based Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

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  • Drechsel, Thomas

Abstract

Microeconomic evidence reveals a direct link between firms' current earnings and their access to debt. This paper studies macroeconomic implications of earnings-based borrowing constraints. In a macro model, firms with earnings-based constraints borrow more in response to positive investment shocks, whereas firms with collateral constraints borrow less. Empirically, aggregate and firm-level credit responds to identified investment shocks according to the predictions with earnings-based constraints. Moreover, with sticky prices earnings-based constraints imply that supply shocks are quantitatively more important. This is validated in an estimated version of the model, highlighting the importance of carefully modeling credit constraints to understand policy tradeoffs.

Suggested Citation

  • Drechsel, Thomas, 2022. "Earnings-Based Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 16975, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16975
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Collateral constraints; Loan covenants; Cash flow-based lending; Financial frictions; Investment-specific shocks; Sticky prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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