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Testing the trade credit and trade link: Evidence from data on export credit insurance

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  • Auboin, Marc
  • Engemann, Martina

Abstract

Trade finance has received special attention during the financial crisis as one of the potential culprits for the great trade collapse. Several researchers have used micro level data to establish the link between trade finance and trade, especially so during the financial crisis, and have found diverting results. This paper analyses the effect of trade credit on trade on a macro level through a whole cycle. We employ Berne Union data on export credit insurance, the most extensive dataset on trade credits available at the moment, for the period of 2005-2011. Using an instrumentation strategy we can identify a significantly positive effect of insured trade credit, as a proxy for trade credits, on trade. The effect of insured trade credit on trade is very strong and remains stable over the cycle, not varying between crisis and non-crisis periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Auboin, Marc & Engemann, Martina, 2012. "Testing the trade credit and trade link: Evidence from data on export credit insurance," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2012-18, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:wtowps:ersd201218
    DOI: 10.30875/bd4017e8-en
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    Cited by:

    1. Sebastian Alvarez & Juan H. Flores, 2014. "Trade finance and Latin America's lost decade: The forgotten link," Investigaciones de Historia Económica - Economic History Research (IHE-EHR), Journal of the Spanish Economic History Association, Asociación Española de Historia Económica, vol. 10(02), pages 127-139.
    2. Auboin, Marc, 2015. "Improving the availability of trade finance in developing countries: An assessment of remaining gaps," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2015-06, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    3. Banu Demir & Tomasz K. Michalski & Evren Ors, 2017. "Risk-Based Capital Requirements for Banks and International Trade," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(11), pages 3970-4002.
    4. Silvia Del Prete & Stefano Federico, 2014. "Trade and finance: is there more than just 'trade finance'? Evidence from matched bank-firm data," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 948, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Iwan J. Azis & Hyun S. Shin (ed.), 2014. "Global Shock, Risks, and Asian Financial Reform," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 15939.
    6. Yalcin, Erdal & Heiland, Inga, 2014. "Export Market Risk and the Role of Public Credit Guarantees," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100478, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Marc Auboin, 2016. "Improving the Availability of Trade Finance in Developing Countries: An Assessment of Remaining Gaps," CESifo Working Paper Series 5784, CESifo.
    8. Flores Zendejas, Juan, 2015. "Capital Markets and Sovereign Defaults: A Historical Perspective," Working Papers unige:73325, University of Geneva, Paul Bairoch Institute of Economic History.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade credit; financial crisis; import estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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