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Testing Export-led Growth in Tunisia and Morocco: New Evidence using the Toda and Yamamoto procedure

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  • Hamdi, Helmi

Abstract

This paper examines the export-led growth hypothesis in Tunisia and Morocco using a multivariate time-series framework. The two selected countries present an interesting case study in terms of their growing outward orientation and adoption of export promotion policies as part of their growth priorities. Since the eighties, both countries have integrated themselves into the world economy and have continuously improved their growth prospects. As a result, they have experienced an outstanding economic performance during the past decade. Despite the multiple similarities between Morocco and Tunisia; our empirical model based on the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) procedure reveals two conflicting results. Firstly, there is evidence for export-led growth in Tunisia while the results for Morocco reveal an import-led growth policy oriented. Secondly, results show no evidence of bidirectional causality between imports and exports for both countries. Therefore, new structural reforms are needed for the two countries to benefit from their high trade openness and from their trade partners.

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  • Hamdi, Helmi, 2013. "Testing Export-led Growth in Tunisia and Morocco: New Evidence using the Toda and Yamamoto procedure," MPRA Paper 65072, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65072
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    Cited by:

    1. Ayhan Orhan & Melek Emikönel & Murat Emikönel & Rui Alexandre Castanho, 2022. "Reflections of the “Export-Led Growth” or “Growth-Led Exports” Hypothesis on the Turkish Economy in the 1999–2021 Period," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-18, October.
    2. Helmi Hamdi & Rashid Sbia & Hakimi Abdelaziz & Wafa Khlaifia hakimi, 2013. "Multivariate Granger causality between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Tunisia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1193-1203.
    3. Nidhal Mgadmi & Helmi Hamdi & Houssem Rachdi, 2016. "Non-Linear Modelling of Money Demand in Tunisia: Evidence from the STAR Model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 1975-1985.
    4. Bakari, Sayef, 2018. "The Impact Of Citrus Exports On Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis From Tunisia," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 6(1), January.
    5. Hakimi, Abdelaziz & Hamdi, Helmi, 2016. "Trade liberalization, FDI inflows, environmental quality and economic growth: A comparative analysis between Tunisia and Morocco," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1445-1456.
    6. Helmi Hamdi & Ali Said & Rashid Sbia, 2015. "Empirical Evidence on the Long-Run Money Demand Function in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 603-612.
    7. Sayef Bakari, 2017. "The Three-Way Linkages Between Export, Import And Economic Growth: New Evidence From Tunisia," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 2(3), pages 13-53, December.
    8. Hamdi, Helmi & Hakimi, Abdelaziz, 2015. "Corruption, FDI and Growth: All the truths of a corrupted regime before and after the social upsurge in Tunisia," MPRA Paper 63748, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Helmi Hamdi & Abdelaziz Hakimi & Khemais Zaghdoudi, 2017. "Diversification, bank performance and risk: have Tunisian banks adopted the new business model?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-25, December.
    10. Mohamad Ahmad Abou Hamia, 2024. "The integration of developing countries into world technology markets: cause or effect of total factor productivity?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 879-902, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Export- Growth- Tunisia-Morocco- Toda and Yamamoto;

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F6 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization

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