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Causal Relations via Econometrics

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Listed author(s):
  • Zaman, Asad

Abstract

Applied econometric work takes a superficial approach to causality. Understanding economic affairs, making good policy decisions, and progress in the economic discipline depend on our ability to infer causal relations from data. We review the dominant approaches to causality in econometrics, and suggest why they fail to give good results. We feel the problem cannot be solved by traditional tools, and requires some out-of-the-box thinking. Potentially promising approaches to solutions are discussed.

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File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/10128/1/MPRA_paper_10128.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 10128.

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Date of creation: 31 May 2008
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:10128
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Keywords: causality; regression; Granger Causality; Exogeneity; Cowles Commission; Hendry Methodology; Natural Experiments;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
  • C59 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Other

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  11. David F. Hendry & Neil R. Ericsson, 1989. "An econometric analysis of UK money demand in MONETARY TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE UNITED KINGDOM by Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz," International Finance Discussion Papers 355, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Cited by:

  1. Ingianni, Andrea, 2012. "Intra-European Union trade openness and new members’ output convergence: A time-series analysis," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-5, School of Economics, Kingston University London.
  2. Gnidchenko, Andrey, 2011. "Моделирование Технологических И Институциональных Эффектов В Макроэкономическом Прогнозировании
    [Technological and Institutional Effects Modeling in Macroeconomic Forecasting]    ," MPRA Paper 35484, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2011.
  3. Asad Zaman, 2012. "Methodological Mistakes and Econometric Consequences," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 4(2), pages 99-122, September.
  4. S. Cem Karaman, 2015. "Effective Use of Foreign Debt, the Case for Turkey," International Journal of Social Science Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 3(2), pages 107-124, September.
  5. Zahid Asghar, 2011. "A Structural Approach for Testing Causality," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 3(2), pages 1-12, September.

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