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COVID-19 Vaccination Mandates and Vaccine Uptake

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  • Karaivanov, Alexander

    (Simon Fraser University)

  • Kim, Dongwoo

    (Simon Fraser University)

  • Lu, Shih En

    (Simon Fraser University)

  • Shigeoka, Hitoshi

    (Simon Fraser University)

Abstract

We evaluate the impact of government mandated proof of vaccination requirements for access to public venues and non-essential businesses on COVID-19 vaccine uptake. We find that the announcement of a mandate is associated with a rapid and significant surge in new vaccinations (more than 60% increase in weekly first doses) using the variation in the timing of these measures across Canadian provinces in a differencein-differences approach. Time-series analysis for each province and for France, Italy and Germany corroborates this finding, and we estimate cumulative gains of up to 5 percentage points in provincial vaccination rates and 790,000 or more first doses for Canada as a whole as of October 31, 2021 (5 to 13 weeks after the provincial mandate announcements). We also find large vaccination gains in France (3 to 5 mln first doses), Italy (around 6 mln) and Germany (around 3.5 mln) 11 to 16 weeks after the proof of vaccination mandate announcements.

Suggested Citation

  • Karaivanov, Alexander & Kim, Dongwoo & Lu, Shih En & Shigeoka, Hitoshi, 2021. "COVID-19 Vaccination Mandates and Vaccine Uptake," IZA Discussion Papers 14946, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp14946
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Giulietti, Corrado & Vlassopoulos, Michael & Zenou, Yves, 2023. "When reality bites: Local deaths and vaccine take-up," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    2. Giulietti, Corrado & Vlassopoulos, Michael & Zenou, Yves, 2021. "When Reality Bites: Local Deaths and Vaccine Take-Up," GLO Discussion Paper Series 999, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    3. Raffaella Santolini, 2022. "The Covid-19 Green Certificate'S Effect On Vaccine Uptake In Italian Regions," Working Papers 468, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    4. Bussolo, Maurizio & Sarma, Nayantara & Torre, Iván, 2023. "The links between COVID-19 vaccine acceptance and non-pharmaceutical interventions," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).
    5. Andreas Steinmayr & Manuel Rossi, 2022. "Vaccine-skeptic physicians and COVID-19 vaccination rates," Working Papers 2022-16, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    6. Dewatripont, Mathias, 2022. "Which policies for vaccine innovation and delivery in Europe?," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    7. Lorena Charrier & Jacopo Garlasco & Robin Thomas & Paolo Gardois & Marco Bo & Carla Maria Zotti, 2022. "An Overview of Strategies to Improve Vaccination Compliance before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(17), pages 1-13, September.
    8. Hirani, Jonas Cuzulan & Wüst, Miriam, 2023. "Reminder Design and Childhood Vaccination Coverage," IZA Discussion Papers 15877, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. John Steven Ott & Frances L. Edwards & Pitima Boonyarak, 2021. "Global Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Public Organization Review, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 619-627, December.
    10. Balisacan, Arsenio M. & dela Cruz, Russel Matthew M., 2021. "When a Pandemic Strikes: Balancing Health and Economy toward Sustainable and Inclusive Recovery," MPRA Paper 111259, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Md. Maruf Ahmed Molla & Jannat Ara Disha & Mahmuda Yeasmin & Asish Kumar Ghosh & Tasnim Nafisa, 2021. "Decreasing transmission and initiation of countrywide vaccination: Key challenges for future management of COVID‐19 pandemic in Bangladesh," International Journal of Health Planning and Management, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 1014-1029, July.
    12. Humlum, Maria Knoth & Morthorst, Marius Opstrup & Thingholm, Peter Rønø, 2022. "Sibling Spillovers and the Choice to Get Vaccinated: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design," IZA Discussion Papers 15109, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; vaccine mandates; proof of vaccination; vaccine uptake; vaccine hesitancy; difference-in-differences; time-series analysis; counterfactuals;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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