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Adaptation to Climate Change via Adjustment in Land Leasing: Evidence from Dryland Wheat Farms in the U.S. Pacific Northwest

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  • Hongliang Zhang
  • Jianhong E. Mu
  • Bruce A. McCarl

Abstract

This paper investigates how dryland wheat farm operators adapt to climate through the use of land leasing in the U.S. Pacific Northwest region. Using a farm-level dataset from the U.S. Census of Agriculture, we build a statistical relationship between climate and leased acreage for dryland wheat farms. We find that a warmer and wetter climate reduces leased dryland wheat farmland, suggesting that land leasing is a potential strategy for adaptation to future climate. Using climate projections from 20 global climate models, we predict that, by 2050, leased acreage for dryland wheat farms on average will decline by 23% and 29% relative to 2012 levels under the medium and high greenhouse gas emission scenarios, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Hongliang Zhang & Jianhong E. Mu & Bruce A. McCarl, 2018. "Adaptation to Climate Change via Adjustment in Land Leasing: Evidence from Dryland Wheat Farms in the U.S. Pacific Northwest," IRENE Working Papers 18-02, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:irn:wpaper:18-02
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    Cited by:

    1. Hasan, M. Mehedi & Alauddin, Mohammad & Rashid Sarker, Md. Abdur & Jakaria, Mohammad & Alamgir, Mahiuddin, 2019. "Climate sensitivity of wheat yield in Bangladesh: Implications for the United Nations sustainable development goals 2 and 6," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    2. Adewale Henry Adenuga & Claire Jack & Ronan McCarry, 2021. "The Case for Long-Term Land Leasing: A Review of the Empirical Literature," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-21, March.
    3. Arnold, Chelsea & Yu, Jisang & Taylor, Mykel & Palm-Forster, Leah H. & Banjeree, Simanti, 2023. "The Role of Risk in Farmland Contract Choices," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 48(2), May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Land Leasing; Climate; Climate Change Adaptation; Wheat;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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