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The sectorial impact of commodity price shocks in Australia

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  • Stephen J. Knop
  • Joaquin L. Vespignani

Abstract

It is found that commodity price shocks largely affect the mining, construction and manufacturing industries in Australia. However, the financial and insurance sector is found to be relatively unaffected. Mining industry profits and nominal output substantially increase in response to commodity price shocks. Construction output is also found to increase significantly, especially in response to a bulk commodities shock, as a result of increased demand for resource related construction. Increased demand for construction has a positive spillover effect to parts of the manufacturing industry that supply the construction sector with intermediate inputs, such as the non-metallic mineral sub industry. In contrast, other manufacturing sub industries with only tenuous links to the resources sector such as textiles, clothing and other manufacturing, are relatively unresponsive to commodity price shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen J. Knop & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2014. "The sectorial impact of commodity price shocks in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2014-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2014-19
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Manalo, Josef & Perera, Dilhan & Rees, Daniel M., 2015. "Exchange rate movements and the Australian economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 53-62.
    2. Hamish Burrell & Joaquin Vespignani, 2019. "The industrial impact of economic uncertainty shocks in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2019-89, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Valle de Souza, Simone & Dollery, Brian & Blackwell, Boyd, 2018. "An empirical analysis of mining costs and mining royalties in Queensland local government," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 656-662.
    4. repec:ddt:wpaper:41 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Jorge Fornero & Markus Kirchner & Andrés Yany, 2015. "Terms of Trade Shocks and Investment in Commodity-Exporting Economies," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rodrigo Caputo & Roberto Chang (ed.), Commodity Prices and Macroeconomic Policy, edition 1, volume 22, chapter 5, pages 135-193, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Sean Langcake & Tim Robinson, 2018. "Forecasting the Australian economy with DSGE and BVAR models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 251-267, January.
    7. Miguel Fuentes D & Jorge Fornero & Hernán Rubio, 2018. "PIB minero y no minero," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(3), pages 094-109, December.
    8. Omar H. M. N. Bashar, 2015. "The Trickle‐down Effect of the Mining Boom in Australia: Fact or Myth?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(S1), pages 94-108, June.
    9. Drew, Joseph & Dollery, Brian Edward & Blackwell, Boyd Dirk, 2018. "A square deal? Mining costs, mining royalties and local government in New South Wales, Australia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 113-122.
    10. Nam T. Hoang & Bao H. Nguyen, 2018. "Oil and Iron Ore Price Shocks: What Are the Different Economic Effects in Australia?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 94(305), pages 186-203, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commodity prices; Commodity shocks; Australian economy;

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General

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