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The sectorial impact of commodity price shocks in Australia

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  • Stephen J. Knop
  • Joaquin L. Vespignani

Abstract

It is found that commodity price shocks largely affect the mining, construction and manufacturing industries in Australia. However, the financial and insurance sector is found to be relatively unaffected. Mining industry profits and nominal output substantially increase in response to commodity price shocks. Construction output is also found to increase significantly, especially in response to a bulk commodities shock, as a result of increased demand for resource related construction. Increased demand for construction has a positive spillover effect to parts of the manufacturing industry that supply the construction sector with intermediate inputs, such as the non-metallic mineral sub industry. In contrast, other manufacturing sub industries with only tenuous links to the resources sector such as textiles, clothing and other manufacturing, are relatively unresponsive to commodity price shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen J. Knop & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2014. "The sectorial impact of commodity price shocks in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2014-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2014-19
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    Cited by:

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    3. Manalo, Josef & Perera, Dilhan & Rees, Daniel M., 2015. "Exchange rate movements and the Australian economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 53-62.
    4. Hamish Burrell & Joaquin Vespignani, 2021. "The Industrial Impact of Economic Uncertainty Shocks in Australia," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 40(3), pages 248-271, September.
    5. Valle de Souza, Simone & Dollery, Brian & Blackwell, Boyd, 2018. "An empirical analysis of mining costs and mining royalties in Queensland local government," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 656-662.
    6. Milena del Rosario Escobar Morillo & Lya Paola Sierra Suárez & José Tomás Peláez Soto, 2019. "Efecto del precio del petróleo en el sector industrial de Colombia: Un análisis empírico para los años 2000-2010," Working Papers 41, Faculty of Economics and Management, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Cali.
    7. Fry-Mckibbin, Renée & Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Kima, Richard & Volkov, Vladimir, 2025. "A three-sector structural VAR model for Australia," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    8. Humera Iram & Abdul Rahim Ridzuan, 2025. "How sensitive are industrial demand and supply to energy price shocks," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 52(1), pages 221-239, March.
    9. Jorge Fornero & Markus Kirchner & Andrés Yany, 2015. "Terms of Trade Shocks and Investment in Commodity-Exporting Economies," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rodrigo Caputo & Roberto Chang (ed.),Commodity Prices and Macroeconomic Policy, edition 1, volume 22, chapter 5, pages 135-193, Central Bank of Chile.
    10. Richard Wamalwa Wanzala & Lawrence Ogechukwu Obokoh, 2024. "Sustainability Implications of Commodity Price Shocks and Commodity Dependence in Selected Sub-Saharan Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-26, October.
    11. Sean Langcake & Tim Robinson, 2018. "Forecasting the Australian economy with DSGE and BVAR models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 251-267, January.
    12. Miguel Fuentes D & Jorge Fornero & Hernán Rubio, 2018. "PIB minero y no minero," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(3), pages 094-109, December.
    13. Burrel, Hamish & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2020. "Industrial Impact of Economic Uncertainty Shocks in Australia: Revised," MPRA Paper 104117, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Omar H. M. N. Bashar, 2015. "The Trickle‐down Effect of the Mining Boom in Australia: Fact or Myth?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(S1), pages 94-108, June.
    15. Zhuhua Jiang & Rim El Khoury & Muneer M. Alshater & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2024. "Impact of global macroeconomic factors on spillovers among Australian sector markets: Fresh findings from a wavelet‐based analysis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 78-105, March.
    16. Silvia Anna Maria Camussi & Davide Dottori & Marco Mancinelli & Anna Laura Mancini & Francesca Modena & Pasquale Recchia & Emanuele Russo & Giulia Martina Tanzi, 2024. "The employment activated by the National Recovery and Resilience Plan in the construction sector at the regional level," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 51(2), pages 299-324, June.
    17. Drew, Joseph & Dollery, Brian Edward & Blackwell, Boyd Dirk, 2018. "A square deal? Mining costs, mining royalties and local government in New South Wales, Australia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 113-122.
    18. Nam T. Hoang & Bao H. Nguyen, 2018. "Oil and Iron Ore Price Shocks: What Are the Different Economic Effects in Australia?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 94(305), pages 186-203, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commodity prices; Commodity shocks; Australian economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General

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