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A Sectoral Model of the Australian Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Jeremy Lawson

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

  • Daniel Rees

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

Abstract

We use a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) to examine the effect of unanticipated changes in monetary policy on the expenditure and production components of GDP over the period from 1983 to 2007. We find that dwelling investment and machinery & equipment investment are the most interest-sensitive expenditure components of activity, and that construction and retail trade are the most interest-sensitive production components of activity. We subject our model to a range of sensitivity checks and find that our results are robust to omitted variables, alternative identification schemes and the time period over which our model is estimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeremy Lawson & Daniel Rees, 2008. "A Sectoral Model of the Australian Economy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2008-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    • Handle: RePEc:rba:rbardp:rdp2008-01
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    File URL: https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2008/pdf/rdp2008-01.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hamish Burrell & Joaquin Vespignani, 2021. "The Industrial Impact of Economic Uncertainty Shocks in Australia," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 40(3), pages 248-271, September.
    2. Tim Atkin & Gianni La Cava, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy: How Does It Work?," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 01-08, September.
    3. Helen Hughson & Gianni La Cava & Paul Ryan & Penelope Smith, 2016. "The Household Cash Flow Channel of Monetary Policy," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 21-30, September.
    4. Knop, Stephen J. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2014. "The sectorial impact of commodity price shocks in Australia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 257-271.
    5. Burrel, Hamish & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2020. "Industrial Impact of Economic Uncertainty Shocks in Australia: Revised," MPRA Paper 104117, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Mardi Dungey & Renee Fry-McKibbin & Verity Linehan, 2014. "Chinese resource demand and the natural resource supplier," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(2), pages 167-178, January.
    7. Angus Moore, 2017. "Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(303), pages 550-575, December.
    8. Mardi Dungey & Renee Fry‐Mckibbin & Vladimir Volkov, 2020. "Transmission of a Resource Boom: The Case of Australia," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(3), pages 503-525, June.
    9. Manalo, Josef & Perera, Dilhan & Rees, Daniel M., 2015. "Exchange rate movements and the Australian economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 53-62.
    10. Knop, Stephen J & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2014. "Industrial Impact of Commodity Price Shocks in Australia," MPRA Paper 104678, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Marion Kohler & Joseph Manalo & Dilhan Perera, 2014. "Exchange Rate Movements and Economic Activity," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 47-54, March.
    12. Christopher G. Gibbs & Jonathan Hambur & Gabriela Nodari, 2021. "Housing and Commodity Investment Booms in a Small Open Economy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(317), pages 212-242, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Australian economy; sectoral macroeconomic model; monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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