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Rogue State Behavior and Markets: The Financial Fallout of North Korean Nuclear Tests

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  • Christos Kollias
  • Stephanos Papadamou

Abstract

Financial markets react to major political events. The two nuclear tests conducted by North Korea in 2006 and 2009 were a sober confirmation of the nuclear weapon capacity of this state with the concomitant potential security threat this posed for the stability of the greater region. We examine how ten regional stock exchanges and currency markets reacted to this security development and these two specific events. The results, although not uniform across all countries and markets, revealed a greater adverse effect in the case of the second of the two tests. On the whole, the adverse effects on the stock exchanges were short lived.

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  • Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou, 2012. "Rogue State Behavior and Markets: The Financial Fallout of North Korean Nuclear Tests," Economics of Security Working Paper Series 67, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diweos:diweos67
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    Cited by:

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    2. In Huh & Ju Hyun Pyun, 2018. "Does Nuclear Uncertainty Threaten Financial Markets? The Attention Paid to North Korean Nuclear Threats and Its Impact on South Korea's Financial Markets," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 32(1), pages 55-82, March.
    3. Al-Ississ Mohamad, 2015. "The Cross-Border Impact of Political Violence," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 239-272, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    nuclear tests and financial markets; event studies; GARCH models; quantile regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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