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Globalization and the Output-inflation Tradeoff: New Time Series Evidence

  • Eijffinger, Sylvester C W
  • Qian, Zongxin

Recent cross-country studies on the globalization and output-inflation tradeoff correlation find openness has no significant effect on OECD countries. Those studies assume parameter constancy across countries. In this paper, we argue that this assumption does not hold for major industrialized countries. Using individual time series analysis, we find the effect of openness on the output-inflation trade off differ in sign and size across countries. In contrast to previous cross-country studies, we find globalization has significantly changed some major industrialized countries’ output inflation tradeoff. This has important implications for future theoretical and empirical research.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 7718.

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Date of creation: Feb 2010
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7718
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  1. Matteo Ciccarelli & Beno�t Mojon, 2010. "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 524-535, August.
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