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Ex-Ante Economic Impact Analysis of Novel Traits in Canola

  • Singla, Rohit
  • Naseem, Anwar

This study evaluates the potential economic impacts of ten novel traits in canola by employing a stochastic economic surplus model. Nitrogen use efficiency, water use efficiency, flea beetle resistance, cold/freeze tolerance and drought tolerance traits were found to have the largest economic impacts. Major beneficiaries of the surplus benefits are consumers, and Canadian producers and innovators. The magnitudes of economic impacts varied substantially across the three major canola growing provinces in Canada. Net benefits were found sensitive to supply elasticity and time spent in R&D and regulatory approval. The benefits, however, were not very sensitive to alternative probability distribution assumption for adoption rate, and correlation of adoption rate with expected yield change.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/126773
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Paper provided by International Association of Agricultural Economists in its series 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil with number 126773.

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Date of creation: 2012
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Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae12:126773
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  1. Roehlano M. Briones & Madan M. Dey & A. K. M. Mahfuzuddin Ahmed & Mark Prein & Ilona Stobutzki, 2008. "Priority setting for research on aquatic resources: an application of modified economic surplus analysis to natural resource systems," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(2), pages 231-243, 09.
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  6. Rudi, Nderim & Norton, George W. & Alwang, Jeffrey Roger & Asumugha, Godwin N., 2010. "Economic impact analysis of marker-assisted breeding for resistance to pests and post harvest deterioration in cassava," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 4(2), June.
  7. Vida-Lina Esperanza B. Alpuerto & George W. Norton & Jeffrey Alwang & Abdelbagi M. Ismail, 2009. "Economic Impact Analysis of Marker-Assisted Breeding for Tolerance to Salinity and Phosphorous Deficiency in Rice," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(4), pages 779-792, December.
  8. Feder, Gershon & Just, Richard E & Zilberman, David, 1985. "Adoption of Agricultural Innovations in Developing Countries: A Survey," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33(2), pages 255-98, January.
  9. José Benjamin Falck-Zepeda & Greg Traxler & Robert G. Nelson, 2000. "Surplus Distribution from the Introduction of a Biotechnology Innovation," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(2), pages 360-369.
  10. Hareau, Guy G. & Mills, Bradford F. & Norton, George W., 2006. "The potential benefits of herbicide-resistant transgenic rice in Uruguay: Lessons for small developing countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 162-179, April.
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