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The impact of climate change on agriculture and food prices: combining a micro land use model and a market equilibrium model

Author

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  • Kan, Iddo
  • Kimhi, Ayal
  • Kaminski, Jonathan

Abstract

We develop an empirical farmland allocation model based on explicit profit functions that is linked to a market demand model. The model accounts for corner solutions, enabling estimation with disaggregated data, and thereby allows treating prices as exogenous. The integrated model enables assessing the impact of climate change on agriculture under partial equilibrium in food markets, while incorporating the production responses of the micro units. For Israel, we obtain adverse simulated effects of climate change on farm profits, food prices and consumer’s surplus, which are considerably lower compared to the case in which price-feedback effects on agricultural supply are overlooked.

Suggested Citation

  • Kan, Iddo & Kimhi, Ayal & Kaminski, Jonathan, 2014. "The impact of climate change on agriculture and food prices: combining a micro land use model and a market equilibrium model," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 183024, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae14:183024
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.183024
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    7. Jonathan Kaminski & Iddo Kan & Aliza Fleischer, 2013. "A Structural Land-Use Analysis of Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change: A Proactive Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(1), pages 70-93.
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    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis; Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use;
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