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The impact of climate change on China's agriculture

Author

Listed:
  • Jinxia Wang
  • Robert Mendelsohn
  • Ariel Dinar
  • Jikun Huang
  • Scott Rozelle
  • Lijuan Zhang

Abstract

This article examines how expected changes in climate are likely to affect agriculture in China. The effects of temperature and precipitation on net crop revenues are analyzed using cross‐sectional data consisting of both rainfed and irrigated farms. Based on survey data from 8,405 households across 28 provinces, the results suggest that global warming is likely to be harmful to rainfed farms but beneficial to irrigated farms. The net impacts will be only mildly harmful at first, but the damages will grow over time. The impacts also vary by region. Farms in the Southeast will only be mildly affected but farms in the Northeast and Northwest will bear the largest damages. However, the study does not capture the indirect effects on farms of possible changes in water flow, which may be important in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinxia Wang & Robert Mendelsohn & Ariel Dinar & Jikun Huang & Scott Rozelle & Lijuan Zhang, 2009. "The impact of climate change on China's agriculture," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(3), pages 323-337, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:40:y:2009:i:3:p:323-337
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2009.00379.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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