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A Structural Land-Use Analysis of Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change: A Proactive Approach

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  • Kaminski, Jonathan
  • Kan, Iddo
  • Fleischer, Aliza

Abstract

This article proposes a proactive approach for analyzing agricultural adaptation to climate change based on a structural land-use model wherein farmers maximize profit by allocating their land between crop-technology bundles. The profitability of the bundles is a function of four technological attributes via which climate variables‟ effect is channeled: yield potential; input requirements; yields' sensitivity to input use; and farm-level management costs. Proactive adaptation measures are derived by identifying the technological attributes via which climate variables reduce overall agricultural profitability, despite adaptation by land reallocation among bundles. By applying the model to Israel, we find that long-term losses stem from yield potential reductions driven by forecasted increases in temperature, implying that adaptation efforts should target more heat-tolerant crop varieties and technologies.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaminski, Jonathan & Kan, Iddo & Fleischer, Aliza, 2011. "A Structural Land-Use Analysis of Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change: A Proactive Approach," Discussion Papers 120076, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Department of Agricultural Economics and Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:huaedp:120076
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.120076
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Féménia, Fabienne & Letort, Elodie, 2016. "How to achieve significant reduction in pesticide use? An empirical evaluation of the impacts of pesticide taxation associated to a change in cropping practice," Working Papers 233482, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    2. Kimhi, A., 2018. "Integrated Micro-Macro Structural Econometric Framework for Assessing Climate-Change Impacts on Agricultural Production and Food Markets," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 276972, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. McFadden, Jonathan & Miranowski, John, "undated". "Climate Change Impacts on the Intensive and Extensive Margins of US Agricultural Land," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170512, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Alain Carpentier & Elodie Letort, 2014. "Multicrop Production Models with Multinomial Logit Acreage Shares," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 59(4), pages 537-559, December.
    5. Kan, Iddo & Reznik, Ami & Kimhi, Ayal & Kaminski, Jonathan, 2018. "The Impacts of Climate Change on Cropland Allocation, Crop Production, Output Prices and Social Welfare in Israel: A Structural Econometric Framework," Discussion Papers 290059, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Department of Agricultural Economics and Management.
    6. Femenia, Fabienne & Letort, Elodie, 2016. "How to significantly reduce pesticide use: An empirical evaluation of the impacts of pesticide taxation associated with a change in cropping practice," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 27-37.
    7. Femenia, Fabienne & Letort, Elodie, 2014. "Economic incentives to the adoption of low input cropping systems: the case of multi-resistant wheat cultivars in France," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182743, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. McFadden, Jonathan R., 2015. "Essays on climate change adaptation and biotechnologies in U.S. agriculture," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005635, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    9. Cornelis Gardebroek & Jeffrey J. Reimer & Lieneke Baller, 2017. "The Impact of Biofuel Policies on Crop Acreages in Germany and France," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(3), pages 839-860, September.
    10. Kan, Iddo & Kimhi, Ayal & Kaminski, Jonathan, 2015. "Climate-Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food Markets: Combining a Micro-Level Structural Land-Use Model and a Market-Level Equilibrium Model," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205128, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Spolador, Humberto Francisco Silva & Smith, Rodney B.W., 2014. "The Effects of Climate Changes on Brazilian Agricultural Production – A Multisector Growth Model Analysis," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170294, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Ferreira, Marcelo D P & Feres, Jose, 2018. "The Role of Climate Risk on Land Allocation in Brazilian Amazon," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274436, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Kan, Iddo & Kimhi, Ayal & Kaminski, Jonathan, 2014. "The impact of climate change on agriculture and food prices: combining a micro land use model and a market equilibrium model," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 183024, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. Fogarasi, József & Kemény, Gábor & Molnár, András & Keményné Horváth, Zsuzsanna & Zubor-Nemes, Anna & Kiss, Andrea, 2016. "Modelling climate effects on Hungarian winter wheat and maize yields," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 118(2), pages 1-6, August.
    15. Kan, Iddo & Kimhi, Ayal & Kaminski, Jonathan, 2015. "Micro-Macro Impacts of Climate-Change on Agriculture and Food Markets," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211828, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    16. Czyżewski, Bazyli, 2016. "Political Rents of European Farmers in the Sustainable Development Paradigm. International, national and regional perspective," MPRA Paper 74253, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Czyżewski, Bazyli & Trojanek, Radosław, 2016. "Drivers of agricultural land prices in terms of different functions of rural areas in Poland," Problems of Agricultural Economics / Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej 249742, Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics - National Research Institute (IAFE-NRI).
    18. Njuki, Eric & Bravo-Ureta, Boris E., 2016. "Measuring agricultural water productivity using a partial factor productivity approach," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 246948, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).

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