IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/cfcp15/344291.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Farm Investment and Adoption of Fixed Milk Price Contracts on Irish Dairy Farms

Author

Listed:
  • Pardeshi, Shefali
  • Loughrey, Jason
  • O’Connor, Declan

Abstract

After the milk quota removal in 2015, the Irish dairy industry has expanded dramatically. Various economic, social and environmental considerations are part of farmer’s choice to invest and to expand. This study evaluates selected factors contributing to recent dairy farmer’s investment decisions and examines the relationship between the adoption of Fixed Milk Price Contracts as a risk management tool and farm investments. This research applies the two-stage residual inclusion approach to address this research question using Teagasc NFS data from 2016 to 2021. This approach is applied to control for potential endogeneity including risk aversion. The results point to the economic relevance of the FMC adoption towards farm investment decisions although the magnitude of the association is limited. Subsidies play an important role in the investment decision although they are a small proportion in the overall specialised dairy farm income and provide a relatively stable source of income in Ireland. We finally conclude that, there is scope to improve the design of these FMCs in terms of protecting farmers from drastic margin volatility and to increase the adoption rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Pardeshi, Shefali & Loughrey, Jason & O’Connor, Declan, 2024. "Farm Investment and Adoption of Fixed Milk Price Contracts on Irish Dairy Farms," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344291, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344291
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.344291
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/344291/files/20877.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.344291?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mauro Vigani & Jonas Kathage, 2019. "To Risk or Not to Risk? Risk Management and Farm Productivity," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1432-1454.
    2. Wolf, Christopher A. & Widmar, Nicole J. Olynk, 2014. "Adoption of Milk and Feed Forward Pricing Methods by Dairy Farmers," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(4), pages 527-541, November.
    3. Halvorsen, Robert & Palmquist, Raymond, 1980. "The Interpretation of Dummy Variables in Semilogarithmic Equations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 474-475, June.
    4. Danilo Bertoni & Daniele Cavicchioli & Laure Latruffe, 2023. "Impact of business transfer on economic performance: the case of Italian family farms," International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 48(2), pages 186-213.
    5. Xiaodong Du & Hongli Feng & David A. Hennessy, 2017. "Rationality of Choices in Subsidized Crop Insurance Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(3), pages 732-756.
    6. Bellemare, Marc F. & Lee, Yu Na & Novak, Lindsey, 2021. "Contract farming as partial insurance," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    7. Jean-Paul Chavas & Richard M. Klemme, 1986. "Aggregate Milk Supply Response and Investment Behavior on U.S. Dairy Farms," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 68(1), pages 55-66.
    8. Jennifer E Ifft & Todd Kuethe & Mitch Morehart, 2015. "Does federal crop insurance lead to higher farm debt use? Evidence from the Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS)," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 75(3), pages 349-367, September.
    9. Skevas, Ioannis & Emvalomatis, Grigorios & Brümmer, Bernhard, 2018. "Productivity growth measurement and decomposition under a dynamic inefficiency specification: The case of German dairy farms," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(1), pages 250-261.
    10. Jennifer E Ifft & Todd Kuethe & Mitch Morehart, 2015. "Does federal crop insurance lead to higher farm debt use? Evidence from the Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS)," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 75(3), pages 349-367, September.
    11. Margarian, Anne, 2022. "Beyond P-Value-Obsession: When are Statistical Hypothesis Tests Required and Appropriate?," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 71(04), January.
    12. Heckelei, Thomas & Hüttel, Silke & Odening, Martin & Rommel, Jens, 2023. "The p-Value Debate and Statistical (Mal)practice – Implications for the Agricultural and Food Economics Community," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 72(01), January.
    13. Galluzzo, Nicola, 2019. "An analysis of technical efficiency in Icelandic dairy and sheep farms," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 121(3), December.
    14. Ifft, Jennifer & Kuethe, Todd & Morehart, Mitch, 2015. "Does Federal Crop Insurance lead to higher farm debt use? Evidence from the Agricultural Resource Management Survey," Working Papers 250011, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    15. Marc F. Bellemare & Casey J. Wichman, 2020. "Elasticities and the Inverse Hyperbolic Sine Transformation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(1), pages 50-61, February.
    16. William Wright & P Brown, 2019. "Succession and investment in New Zealand farming," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 203-214, May.
    17. Fabian Frick & Johannes Sauer, 2021. "Technological Change in Dairy Farming with Increased Price Volatility," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(2), pages 564-588, June.
    18. O’Toole, Conor & Hennessy, Thia, 2015. "Do decoupled payments affect investment financing constraints? Evidence from Irish agriculture," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 67-75.
    19. John Garvey & Gordon Sirr & Deirdre O'Shea & Fergal O'Brien, 2019. "Risk and Planning in Agriculture: How Planning on Dairy Farms in Ireland Is Affected by Farmers’ Regulatory Focus," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(7), pages 1491-1502, July.
    20. Komarek, Adam M. & De Pinto, Alessandro & Smith, Vincent H., 2020. "A review of types of risks in agriculture: What we know and what we need to know," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    21. Eli Feinerman & Jack Peerlings, 2005. "Uncertain Land Availability and Investment Decisions: The Case of Dutch Dairy Farms," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(1), pages 59-80, March.
    22. Barry K. Goodwin & Ted C. Schroeder, 1994. "Human Capital, Producer Education Programs, and the Adoption of Forward-Pricing Methods," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(4), pages 936-947.
    23. Mauro Vigani & Jonas Kathage, 2019. "To Risk or Not to Risk? Risk Management and Farm Productivity," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 101(5), pages 1432-1454, October.
    24. Key, Nigel & McBride, William D., 2008. "Do Production Contracts Raise Farm Productivity? An Instrumental Variables Approach," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(2), pages 176-187, October.
    25. Manuela Meraner & Robert Finger, 2019. "Risk perceptions, preferences and management strategies: evidence from a case study using German livestock farmers," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 110-135, January.
    26. J. Špička & J. Boudný & B. Janotová, 2009. "The role of subsidies in managing the operating risk of agricultural enterprises," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 55(4), pages 169-180.
    27. Leppälä, Jarkko & Rautiainen, Risto & Kauranen, Ilkka, 2015. "Analysis of risk management tools applicable in managing farm risks: A literature review," International Journal of Agricultural Management, Institute of Agricultural Management, vol. 4(3), April.
    28. Xiaodong Du & Hongli Feng & David A. Hennessy, 2017. "Rationality of Choices in Subsidized Crop Insurance Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(3), pages 732-756.
    29. Carlos D. Mayen & Joseph V. Balagtas & Corinne E. Alexander, 2010. "Technology Adoption and Technical Efficiency: Organic and Conventional Dairy Farms in the United States," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(1), pages 181-195.
    30. Hardaker, J. Brian & Lien, Gudbrand, 2010. "Probabilities for decision analysis in agriculture and rural resource economics: The need for a paradigm change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 103(6), pages 345-350, July.
    31. David E. Giles, 2011. "Interpreting Dummy Variables in Semi-logarithmic Regression Models: Exact Distributional Results," Econometrics Working Papers 1101, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    32. Doris Läpple & Gordon Sirr, 2019. "Dairy Intensification and Quota Abolition: A Comparative Study of Production in Ireland and the Netherlands," EuroChoices, The Agricultural Economics Society, vol. 18(3), pages 26-32, December.
    33. Adenuga, Adewale Henry & Davis, John & Hutchinson, George & Patton, Myles & Donnellan, Trevor, 2020. "Analysis of the effect of alternative agri-environmental policy instruments on production performance and nitrogen surplus of representative dairy farms," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    34. Ton, Giel & Vellema, Wytse & Desiere, Sam & Weituschat, Sophia & D'Haese, Marijke, 2018. "Contract farming for improving smallholder incomes: What can we learn from effectiveness studies?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 46-64.
    35. Todd H. Kuethe & Mitch Morehart, 2012. "The profit impacts of risk management tool adoption," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 72(1), pages 104-116, May.
    36. Aramyan, Lusine H. & Lansink, Alfons G.J.M. Oude & Verstegen, Jos A.A.M., 2007. "Factors underlying the investment decision in energy-saving systems in Dutch horticulture," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 520-527, May.
    37. Wanglin Ma & Alan Renwick & Kathryn Bicknell, 2018. "Higher Intensity, Higher Profit? Empirical Evidence from Dairy Farming in New Zealand," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(3), pages 739-755, September.
    38. F. van Winsen & Y. de Mey & L. Lauwers & S. Van Passel & M. Vancauteren & E. Wauters, 2016. "Determinants of risk behaviour: effects of perceived risks and risk attitude on farmer's adoption of risk management strategies," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 56-78, January.
    39. Thorsøe, Martin & Noe, Egon & Maye, Damian & Vigani, Mauro & Kirwan, James & Chiswell, Hannah & Grivins, Mikelis & Adamsone-Fiskovica, Anda & Tisenkopfs, Talis & Tsakalou, Emi & Aubert, Pierre-Marie &, 2020. "Responding to change: Farming system resilience in a liberalized and volatile European dairy market," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    40. Stephan Hoehl & Sebastian Hess, 2022. "Liquidity, hedging and the survival of North German dairy farms," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 49(1), pages 208-236.
    41. Beal, Diana J., 1996. "Emerging Issues in Risk Management in Farm Firms," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(03), pages 1-12, December.
    42. Wanglin Ma & Zhongkun Zhu, 2020. "A Note: Reducing Cropland Abandonment in China – Do Agricultural Cooperatives Play a Role?," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 929-935, September.
    43. Hinrich Schulte & Oliver Musshoff, 2018. "Insurance prospects after the European dairy quota abolition," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 78(2), pages 223-232, February.
    44. LaDue, Eddy & Miller, Lynn & Kwiatkowski, Joseph, 1989. "Factors Influencing Farm Investment Behavior," Agricultural Economics Reports 298001, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    45. Loughrey, J. & Thorne, F. & Kinsella, A. & Hennessy, T. & O'Donoghue, C. & Vollenweider, X., 2015. "Market risk management and the demand for forward contracts among Irish dairy farmers," International Journal of Agricultural Management, Institute of Agricultural Management, vol. 4(4), July.
    46. Simone Severini & Cinzia Zinnanti & Valeria Borsellino & Emanuele Schimmenti, 2021. "EU income stabilization tool: potential impacts, financial sustainability and farmer’s risk aversion," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    47. Todd H. Kuethe & Mitch Morehart, 2012. "The profit impacts of risk management tool adoption," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 72(1), pages 104-116, May.
    48. Darren J. Murphy & Michael D. Murphy & Bernadette O’Brien & Michael O’Donovan, 2021. "A Review of Precision Technologies for Optimising Pasture Measurement on Irish Grassland," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-36, June.
    49. Duden, Christoph & Offermann, Frank, 2020. "Income Risk of German Farms and its Drivers," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 69(2), May.
    50. Malte Müller & Markus Hanisch & Agustina Malvido & Jens Rommel & Julian Sagebiel, 2018. "The structural effect of cooperatives on price volatility in the European dairy sector," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(8), pages 576-579, May.
    51. Barry K. Goodwin, 1993. "An Empirical Analysis of the Demand for Multiple Peril Crop Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(2), pages 425-434.
    52. Marius Michels & Johannes Möllmann & Oliver Musshoff, 2019. "Understanding the intention to use commodity futures contracts," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 79(5), pages 582-597, August.
    53. Valentin Amrhein & Sander Greenland & Blake McShane, 2019. "Scientists rise up against statistical significance," Nature, Nature, vol. 567(7748), pages 305-307, March.
    54. Prager, Daniel & Burns, Christopher & Tulman, Sarah & MacDonald, James, 2020. "Farm Use of Futures, Options, and Marketing Contracts," Agricultural Economic Reports 305690, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vigani, Mauro & Khafagy, Amr & Berry, Robert, 2024. "Public spending for agricultural risk management: Land use, regional welfare and intra-subsidy substitution," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    2. Nathan D. DeLay & Brady Brewer & Allen Featherstone & David Boussios, 2023. "The impact of crop insurance on farm financial outcomes," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(1), pages 579-601, March.
    3. Rakhal Sarker & Truc Phan & Yu Na Lee & Alfons Weersink, 2022. "Business Risk Management Program and risk‐balancing in Ontario hog sector: An empirical analysis," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(4), pages 287-304, December.
    4. Cai, Rong & Ma, Jie & Wang, Shujuan & Cai, Shukai, 2024. "Access to credit and scale efficiency: Evidence from family farms in East China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1538-1551.
    5. Richard KOENIG & Marielle BRUNETTE, 2023. "Subjective barriers and determinants to crop insurance adoption," Working Papers of BETA 2023-25, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    6. Giampietri, Elisa & Yu, Xiaohua & Trestini, Samuele, 2020. "The role of trust and perceived barriers on farmer’s intention to adopt risk management tools," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 9(01), April.
    7. Carlotta Penone & Elisa Giampietri & Samuele Trestini, 2024. "Exploring farmers’ intention to adopt marketing contracts: empirical insights using the TOE framework," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 12(1), pages 1-19, December.
    8. Bradfield, Tracy & Butler, Robert & Dillon, Emma J. & Hennessy, Thia & Loughrey, Jason, 2023. "The impact of long-term land leases on farm investment: Evidence from the Irish dairy sector," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    9. Kofi A. A-O. Agyei-Henaku & Charlotte Badu-Prah & Francis Srofenyoh & Ferguson K. Gidiglo & Akua Agyeiwaa-Afrane & Justice G. Djokoto, 2024. "Citations of Publications on Foreign Direct Investments into Agribusiness: Nature, Variability and Drivers," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(1), pages 21582440241, February.
    10. MacDonald, James M. & Cessna, Jerry & Mosheim, Roberto, 2016. "Changing Structure, Financial Risks, and Government Policy for the U.S. Dairy Industry," Economic Research Report 262200, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    11. Lotte Yanore & Jaap Sok & Alfons Oude Lansink, 2024. "Do Dutch farmers invest in expansion despite increased policy uncertainty? A participatory Bayesian network approach," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 93-115, January.
    12. Soriano, Bárbara & Garrido, Alberto & Bertolozzi-Caredio, Daniele & Accatino, Francesco & Antonioli, Federico & Krupin, Vitaliy & Meuwissen, Miranda P.M. & Ollendorf, Franziska & Rommel, Jens & Spiege, 2023. "Actors and their roles for improving resilience of farming systems in Europe," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 98, pages 134-146.
    13. Pardeshi, Shefali & Loughrey, Dr. Jason & O’Connor, Dr. Declan, 2023. "Adoption of Fixed Milk Price Contracts and Farm Investments in Irish Dairy Sector," GEWISOLA 63rd Annual Conference, Goettingen, Germany, September 20-22, 2023 344245, GEWISOLA.
    14. Geoffroy Enjolras & Magali Aubert, 2018. "Does crop insurance lead to better environmental practices? Evidence from French farms," Post-Print hal-02048349, HAL.
    15. Tim Philippi & Jörg Schiller, 2024. "Abandoning disaster relief and stimulating insurance demand through premium subsidies," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 91(2), pages 339-382, June.
    16. Geoffroy Enjolras & Magali Aubert, 2020. "How does crop insurance influence pesticide use? Evidence from French farms," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, Springer, vol. 101(4), pages 461-485, December.
    17. Eric J. Belasco & Kate Binzen Fuller, 2022. "Who buys crop insurance? Predictors of the participation gap between organic and conventional farms," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(3), pages 1554-1572, September.
    18. Emileva, Begaiym & Kuhn, Lena & Bobojonov, Ihtiyor & Glauben, Thomas, 2023. "The role of smartphone-based weather information acquisition on climate change perception accuracy: Cross-country evidence from Kyrgyzstan, Mongolia and Uzbekistan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 41, pages 1-1.
    19. Chen, I-Chun & Du, Xiaodong & Mitchell, Paul D., 2018. "Policy Implications of Joint versus Separate Estimation of Crop Insurance Demand," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273878, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Luigi Biagini & Simone Severini, 2021. "The role of Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) in enhancing and stabilising farm income: an analysis of income transfer efficiency and the Income Stabilisation Tool," Papers 2104.14188, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Research Methods/Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344291. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://iaae-agecon.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.