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Productivity Growth And Catching-Up: Implications For China'S Trade In Livestock Products

Author

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  • Nin Pratt, Alejandro
  • Hertel, Thomas W.
  • Foster, Kenneth A.
  • Rae, Allan N.

Abstract

We develop projections of China's likely meat trade in the year 2010 using a general equilibrium model in conjunction with forecasts of productivity growth rates and macro-economic forecasts. Interestingly, macro-economic uncertainty appears to be more important in driving China's net trade position in meats than is sector-specific supply uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Nin Pratt, Alejandro & Hertel, Thomas W. & Foster, Kenneth A. & Rae, Allan N., 2001. "Productivity Growth And Catching-Up: Implications For China'S Trade In Livestock Products," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20590, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea01:20590
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.20590
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Fontagné, Lionel & Fouré, Jean, 2013. "Opening a Pandora's box: Modeling world trade patterns at the 2035 horizon," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2013-09, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    2. Rae, Allan N., 2001. "Trade In Livestock Products And The Wto Millenium Round: Projections To 2005 And Problems With Trq'S," 2001: International Trade in Livestock Products Symposium, January 2001, Auckland, New Zealand 14564, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    3. Allan N. Rae & Hengyun Ma & Jikun Huang & Scott Rozelle, 2006. "Livestock in China: Commodity-Specific Total Factor Productivity Decomposition Using New Panel Data," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(3), pages 680-695.
    4. Masayoshi Homna & Ray Trewin & Jennifer Amyx & Allan Rae, 2000. "A Way Forward for Japanese Agriculture," Asia Pacific Economic Papers 300, Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

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