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Confidence Intervals for Elasticities and Flexibilities: Reevaluating the Ratios of Normals Case

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  • Jeffrey H. Dorfman
  • Catherine L. Kling
  • Richard J. Sexton

Abstract

Many important hypotheses in applied economics depend upon the magnitude of estimated elasticities or flexibilities. However, their statistical properties are unknown for many popular models, making standard statistical inference impossible. This problem is addressed in the present paper which analyzes and evaluates alternative methods of constructing confidence intervals for elasticities and flexibilities. The methods studied include three bootstrap-based approaches, an approximation based on a Taylor's series expansion, and approaches proposed by Fieller and Scheffé. Results show that all method's except Scheffé's worked reasonably well, but the simpler Fieller and Taylor's series methods modestly outperformed the various bootstrapped-generated intervals.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffrey H. Dorfman & Catherine L. Kling & Richard J. Sexton, 1990. "Confidence Intervals for Elasticities and Flexibilities: Reevaluating the Ratios of Normals Case," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(4), pages 1006-1017.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:72:y:1990:i:4:p:1006-1017.
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    4. Richard T. Carson & Mikołaj Czajkowski, 2018. "A New Baseline Model for Estimating Willingness to Pay from Discrete Choice Models," Working Papers 2018-04, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
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    7. Berning, Joshua P. & Chouinard, Hayley & McCluskey, Jill J., 2009. "Measuring the Impact of Nutrition Labels on Food Purchasing Decisions: A field experiment with scanner data," Research Reports 153338, University of Connecticut, Food Marketing Policy Center.
    8. McIntosh, Christopher S. & Shumway, C. Richard, 1991. "Multiproduct Production Choices And Policy Response," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(02), December.
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    10. Lanfranco, Bruno A. & Ames, Glenn C.W. & Huang, Chung L., 2001. "A Censored System Estimation Of Hispanic Household Food Consumption Patterns," Faculty Series 16720, University of Georgia, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    11. J. G. Hirschberg, J. N. Lye & D. J. Slottje, 2008. "Confidence Intervals for Estimates of Elasticities," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 1053, The University of Melbourne.
    12. Nin, Alejandro & Hertel, Thomas W. & Foster, Kenneth & Rae, Allan, 2004. "Productivity growth, catching-up and uncertainty in China's meat trade," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 1-16, July.
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    14. Kim, Jae H. & Fraser, Iain & Hyndman, Rob J., 2011. "Improved interval estimation of long run response from a dynamic linear model: A highest density region approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 2477-2489, August.
    15. McIntosh, Christopher S. & Williams, Albert A., 1992. "Multiproduct Production Choices And Pesticide Regulation In Georgia," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(01), July.
    16. Metin Cakir & Joseph V. Balagtas, 2010. "Econometric evidence of cross-market effects of generic dairy advertising," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 83-99.
    17. Mario F. Teisl & Nancy E. Bockstael & Alan Levy, 2001. "Measuring the Welfare Effects of Nutrition Information," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 83(1), pages 133-149.
    18. Joseph Cooper & John Loomis, 1993. "Testing whether waterfowl hunting benefits increase with greater water deliveries to wetlands," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 3(6), pages 545-561, December.
    19. Rodriguez, Nestor & Eales, James S., 2015. "Structural Change via Threshold Effects: Estimating U.S. Meat Demand Using Smooth Transition Functions and the Effects of More Women in the Labor Force," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 206522, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association;Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    20. Johnston, Robert J. & Swallow, Stephen K. & Weaver, Thomas F., 1999. "Estimating Willingness to Pay and Resource Tradeoffs with Different Payment Mechanisms: An Evaluation of a Funding Guarantee for Watershed Management," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 97-120, July.
    21. V. Kumar & Jia Fan & Rohit Gulati & P. Venkat, 2009. "—Marketing-Mix Recommendations to Manage Value Growth at P&G Asia-Pacific," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 28(4), pages 645-655, 07-08.
    22. Mooney, Sian & Antle, John M. & Capalbo, Susan Marie & Paustian, Keith H., 2003. "Incorporating Uncertainty In Integrated Assessment Modeling," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22225, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    23. Nin Pratt, Alejandro & Hertel, Thomas W. & Foster, Kenneth A. & Rae, Allan N., 2001. "Productivity Growth And Catching-Up: Implications For China'S Trade In Livestock Products," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20590, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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