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Cian O'Neill

Personal Details

First Name:Cian
Middle Name:
Last Name:O'Neill
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RePEc Short-ID:pon94
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Affiliation

Bank of England

London, United Kingdom
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/
RePEc:edi:boegvuk (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers

Working papers

  1. Fernando Eguren-Martin & Cian O'Neill & Andrej Sokol & Lukas von dem Berge, 2020. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 881, Bank of England.
  2. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Sinem Hacioglu Hoke & Cian O’Neill & Akash Raja, 2019. "Credit, capital and crises: a GDP-at-Risk approach," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 824, Bank of England.
  3. Cian O'Neill & Nicholas Vause, 2018. "Macroprudential margins: a new countercyclical tool?," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 765, Bank of England.
  4. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Stephen Burgess & Richard Galletly & Iren Levina & Cian O'Neill & Alexandra Varadi, 2018. "Measuring risks to UK financial stability," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 738, Bank of England.
  5. Saleem Bahaj & Jonathan Bridges & Frederic Malherbe & Cian O’Neill, 2016. "What determines how banks respond to changes in capital requirements?," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 593, Bank of England.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Fernando Eguren-Martin & Cian O'Neill & Andrej Sokol & Lukas von dem Berge, 2020. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 881, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Karlström, Peter, 2025. "Macroprudential policy and systemic risk: The role of corporate and household credit booms," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    2. Chen, Yang & Feng, Yun & Liu, Qing & Zhang, Zhipeng, 2025. "Does benchmark-driven investment amplify the impact of the global financial cycle on emerging markets?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    3. Minjie Hu & Xuemei Yuan, 2025. "Dollar shocks and cross-border capital flows: Evidence from 33 emerging economies," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(3), pages 1-22, March.
    4. Fernando Eguren Martin & Mark Joy & Claudia Maurini & Alessandro Moro & Valerio Nispi Landi & Alessandro Schiavone & Carlos van Hombeeck, 2020. "Capital flows during the pandemic: lessons for a more resilient international financial architecture," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 589, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Zhu, Chen & Li, Haohua, 2026. "Cross-border capital flows and China’s banking systemic risk: Cross-contagion effects based on the time-varying net spillover index," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    6. Gabor, Daniela, 2021. "The Liquidity and Sustainability Facility for African Sovereign Bonds: a good ECA/PIMCO idea whose time has come?," SocArXiv erku6, Center for Open Science.
    7. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2023. "Macroprudential stance assessment: problems of measurement, literature review and some comments for the case of Croatia," Working Papers 72, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    8. Bank for International Settlements, 2021. "Changing patterns of capital flows," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 66.
    9. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2024. "Growth-at-risk for macroprudential policy stance assessment: a survey," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1075, Bank of England.
    10. Ossandon Busch, Matias & Sánchez-Martínez, José Manuel & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo & Martínez-Jaramillo, Serafín, 2022. "Growth at risk: Methodology and applications in an open-source platform," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(3).
    11. Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
    12. Yoshihiko Norimasa & Kazuki Ueda & Tomohiro Watanabe, 2021. "Emerging Economies' Vulnerability to Changes in Capital Flows: The Role of Global and Local Factors," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    13. Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Kristin J. Forbes, 2021. "Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle," Research Working Paper RWP 21-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    14. Michal Franta & Jan Libich, 2024. "Holding the economy by the tail: analysis of short- and long-run macroeconomic risks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 1443-1489, April.
    15. Huang, Xiaowei & He, Chenyu & Zhang, Man, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and capital flows' tail risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    16. Zhou, Yang, 2024. "Benefits and costs: The impact of capital control on growth-at-risk in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    17. Gelos, Gaston & Gornicka, Lucyna & Koepke, Robin & Sahay, Ratna & Sgherri, Silvia, 2022. "Capital flows at risk: Taming the ebbs and flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    18. Annamaria Crescenzio & Etienne Lepers, 2025. "Extreme Capital Flow Episodes From the Global Financial Crisis to COVID-19: An Exploration With Monthly Data," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 105-136, February.
    19. Martínez-Jaramillo, Serafín & Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo & Ossandon Busch, Matias & Ramos-Francia, Manuel & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Sánchez-Martínez, Manuel, 2022. "Stress-ridden finance and growth losses: Does financial development break the link?," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    20. Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Christian Lundblad, 2020. "Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-on/Risk-off and Emerging Market Tail Risk," NBER Working Papers 27927, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Tihana Škrinjarić & Maja Sabol, 2023. "Easier said than done: Predicting downside risks to house prices in Croatia," Working Papers 73, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.

  2. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Sinem Hacioglu Hoke & Cian O’Neill & Akash Raja, 2019. "Credit, capital and crises: a GDP-at-Risk approach," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 824, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Jorge E. Galán, 2020. "The benefits are at the tail: uncovering the impact of macroprudential policy on growth-at-risk," Working Papers 2007, Banco de España.
    2. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O’Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & Berge, Lukas von dem, 2021. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Working Paper Series 2538, European Central Bank.
    3. Aleksei Kipriyanov, 2022. "Comparison of Models for Growth-at-Risk Forecasting," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 23-45, March.
    4. Matteo Santi, 2025. "A high-dimensional GDP-at-risk and Inflation-at-risk for the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1484, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2022. "Modeling global real economic activity: Evidence from variable selection across quantiles," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    6. Lloyd, S. & Manuel, E. & Panchev, K., 2021. "Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2156, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    7. Bruno Albuquerque, 2021. "Corporate debt booms, financial constraints and the investment nexus," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 935, Bank of England.
    8. Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Kolb, Benedikt, 2024. "Macroprudential capital regulation and fiscal balances in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    9. Mikael Juselius & Nikola Tarashev, 2020. "Forecasting expected and unexpected losses," BIS Working Papers 913, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Martin Geiger & Elias Hasler & Martin Gächter, 2021. "On the structural determinants of growth-at-risk," Arbeitspapiere 70, Liechtenstein-Institut.
    11. Martin Gachter & Elias Hasler & Florian Huber, 2023. "A tale of two tails: 130 years of growth-at-risk," Papers 2302.08920, arXiv.org.
    12. Daisuke Ikeda & Hidehiko Matsumoto, 2021. "Procyclical Leverage and Crisis Probability in a Macroeconomic Model of Bank Runs," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-01, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    13. Herbst, Tobias & Plaasch, Jannick & Stammwitz, Florian, 2024. "A price-at-risk approach for the German commercial real estate market," Technical Papers 08/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    14. Stephen Millard & Margarita Rubio & Alexandra Varadi, 2021. "The macroprudential toolkit: effectiveness and interactions," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 902, Bank of England.
    15. Milan Szabo, 2020. "Growth-at-Risk: Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 2020/3, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    16. Filippo Busetto, 2024. "Asymmetric expectations of monetary policy," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1058, Bank of England.
    17. Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo & Ossandon Busch, Matias & Ramos-Francia, Manuel, 2024. "Untangling the finance-growth nexus: The dual role of financial development in the transmission of shocks," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    18. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2023. "Credit-to-GDP Gap Estimates in Real Time: A Stable Indicator for Macroprudential Policy Making in Croatia," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65(3), pages 582-614, September.
    19. Anil K Kashyap, 2020. "My Reflections on the FPC's Strategy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S1), pages 63-75, October.
    20. Franta, Michal & Gambacorta, Leonardo, 2020. "On the effects of macroprudential policies on Growth-at-Risk," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    21. Benjamin King & James Semark, 2022. "Reducing liquidity mismatch in open-ended funds: a cost-benefit analysis," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 975, Bank of England.
    22. Ossandon Busch, Matias & Sánchez-Martínez, José Manuel & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo & Martínez-Jaramillo, Serafín, 2022. "Growth at risk: Methodology and applications in an open-source platform," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(3).
    23. Zhou, Yang, 2024. "Benefits and costs: The impact of capital control on growth-at-risk in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    24. Jonathan Bridges & Georgina Green & Mark Joy, 2021. "Credit, crises and inequality," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 949, Bank of England.
    25. Bluwstein, Kristina & Buckmann, Marcus & Joseph, Andreas & Kapadia, Sujit & Şimşek, Özgür, 2023. "Credit growth, the yield curve and financial crisis prediction: Evidence from a machine learning approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    26. Beutel, Johannes & Emter, Lorenz & Metiu, Norbert & Prieto, Esteban & Schüler, Yves, 2025. "The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    27. Stephen Millard, & Margarita Rubio & Alexandra Varadi, 2020. "The impact of Covid-19 on productivity," Discussion Papers 2020/14, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    28. Martínez-Jaramillo, Serafín & Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo & Ossandon Busch, Matias & Ramos-Francia, Manuel & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Sánchez-Martínez, Manuel, 2022. "Stress-ridden finance and growth losses: Does financial development break the link?," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    29. Sui, Jianli & Lv, Wenqiang & Gao, Xiang & Koedijk, Kees G., 2024. "China’s GDP-at-Risk: Real-Time Monitoring, Risk Tracing, and Macroeconomic Policy Effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).

  3. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Stephen Burgess & Richard Galletly & Iren Levina & Cian O'Neill & Alexandra Varadi, 2018. "Measuring risks to UK financial stability," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 738, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Suarez, Javier, 2022. "Growth-at-risk and macroprudential policy design," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    2. Jorge E. Galán, 2020. "The benefits are at the tail: uncovering the impact of macroprudential policy on growth-at-risk," Working Papers 2007, Banco de España.
    3. Alexandra Varadi, 2021. "Identifying the transmission channels of credit supply shocks to household debt: price and non-price effects," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 927, Bank of England.
    4. Lloyd, S. & Manuel, E. & Panchev, K., 2021. "Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2156, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Luke Hartigan & Michelle Wright, 2021. "Financial Conditions and Downside Risk to Economic Activity in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2021-03, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    6. Milan Szabo, 2020. "Growth-at-Risk: Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 2020/3, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    7. Lubello, Federico & Rouabah, Abdelaziz, 2024. "Securitization, shadow banking system and macroprudential regulation: A DSGE approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    8. Thi Huyen Tran & Robert Ślepaczuk, 2022. "Quantile regression analysis to predict GDP distribution using data from the US and UK," Working Papers 2022-30, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    9. Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Greiwe, Moritz, 2023. "Medium-term growth-at-risk in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2808, European Central Bank.
    10. Tarkocin, Coskun & Donduran, Murat, 2024. "Constructing early warning indicators for banks using machine learning models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    11. Jonathan Bridges & Georgina Green & Mark Joy, 2021. "Credit, crises and inequality," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 949, Bank of England.
    12. Wang, Bo & Xiao, Yang, 2023. "The term effect of financial cycle variables on GDP growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    13. Bholat, David & Broughton, Nida & Ter Meer, Janna & Walczak, Eryk, 2019. "Enhancing central bank communications using simple and relatable information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 1-15.
    14. Marcin Pietrzak, 2021. "Can Financial Soundness Indicators Help Predict Financial Sector Distress?," IMF Working Papers 2021/197, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Milan Szabo & Zlatuse Komarkova & Martin Casta, 2020. "Vulnerable growth: Bayesian GDP-at-Risk," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes,, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    16. Chua, Yeow Hwee & Hong, Zu Yao, 2026. "Tail risk and expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    17. Lang, Jan Hannes & Izzo, Cosimo & Fahr, Stephan & Ruzicka, Josef, 2019. "Anticipating the bust: a new cyclical systemic risk indicator to assess the likelihood and severity of financial crises," Occasional Paper Series 219, European Central Bank.
    18. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Sinem Hacioglu Hoke & Cian O’Neill & Akash Raja, 2019. "Credit, capital and crises: a GDP-at-Risk approach," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 824, Bank of England.
    19. Greg Farrell & Esti Kemp, 2020. "Measuring the Financial Cycle in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 123-144, June.
    20. Wang, Bo & Li, Haoran, 2021. "Downside risk, financial conditions and systemic risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    21. Tihana Skrinjaric, 2024. "Macroprudential policy stance assessment: the case of Croatia," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 48(4), pages 421-463.

  4. Saleem Bahaj & Jonathan Bridges & Frederic Malherbe & Cian O’Neill, 2016. "What determines how banks respond to changes in capital requirements?," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 593, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Borsuk, Marcin & Budnik, Katarzyna & Volk, Matjaz, 2020. "Buffer use and lending impact," Macroprudential Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 11.
    2. Saleem Bahaj & Frederic Malherbe, 2020. "The Forced Safety Effect: How Higher Capital Requirements Can Increase Bank Lending," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(6), pages 3013-3053, December.
    3. David Aikman & Daniel Beale & Adam Brinley-Codd & Giovanni Covi & Anne‑Caroline Hüser & Caterina Lepore, 2023. "Macroprudential stress‑test models: a survey," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1037, Bank of England.
    4. Lubberink, Martien, 2020. "Max Headroom: Discretionary Capital Buffers and Bank Risk," MPRA Paper 100445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Malherbe, Frédéric & Bahaj, Saleem, 2016. "A positive analysis of bank behaviour under capital requirements," CEPR Discussion Papers 11607, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    6. Stefan Angrick & Naoko Nemoto, 2018. "Breaking Par: Short-Term Determinants of Yen-Dollar Swap Deviations," ADBI Working Papers 859, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    7. Jonathan Bridges & Christopher Jackson & Daisy McGregor, 2017. "Down in the slumps: the role of credit in five decades of recessions," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 659, Bank of England.
    8. De Jonghe, Olivier & Dewachter, Hans & Ongena, Steven, 2020. "Bank capital (requirements) and credit supply: Evidence from pillar 2 decisions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    9. Simona Malovana & Martin Hodula & Josef Bajzik & Zuzana Gric, 2021. "A Tale of Different Capital Ratios: How to Correctly Assess the Impact of Capital Regulation on Lending," Working Papers 2021/8, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    10. David Aikman & Andrew Haldane & Marc Hinterschweiger & Sujit Kapadia, 2018. "Rethinking financial stability," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 712, Bank of England.
    11. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Anil Kashyap & Caspar Siergert, 2018. "Would macroprudential regulation have prevented the last crisis?," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 747, Bank of England.
    12. Meeks, Roland, 2017. "Capital regulation and the macroeconomy: Empirical evidence and macroprudential policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 125-141.
    13. Bahaj, Saleem & Malherbe, Frederic, 2024. "The cross-border effects of bank capital regulation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

Access and download statistics for all items

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 6 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-BAN: Banking (5) 2016-04-30 2018-08-13 2018-12-03 2019-11-18 2020-09-14. Author is listed
  2. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (5) 2016-04-30 2018-08-13 2019-11-18 2020-09-14 2021-05-10. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (2) 2016-04-30 2019-11-18
  4. NEP-CFN: Corporate Finance (2) 2016-04-30 2018-08-13
  5. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (2) 2020-09-14 2021-05-10
  6. NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (1) 2019-11-18
  7. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (1) 2018-08-13

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