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The Size of the Rental Market and Housing Market Fluctuations

Author

Listed:
  • Adam Czerniak

    (SGH Warsaw School of Economics)

  • Michał Rubaszek

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

Abstract

The paper investigates whether the size of the rental market affects house prices fluctuations or the volatility of construction sector activity over the business cycle. For that purpose we construct a database of variables describing the housing sector in a group of twelve initial euro area members and ten other OECD countries over the years 1995–2014 and conduct a series of panel regressions. We find that a developed rental market attenuates fluctuations in the housing sector, especially for the common currency area sample. We claim that differences among monetary union countries in terms of rental market developments can be destabilizing as they might lead to heterogeneous response to common shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Czerniak & Michał Rubaszek, 2018. "The Size of the Rental Market and Housing Market Fluctuations," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 261-281, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:29:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s11079-017-9452-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11079-017-9452-1
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    Cited by:

    1. Wu Guancen & Li Chen & Niu Xing & Li Ping & Tao Li, 2021. "Evolution of Relationship Between Housing and Rental Prices and Inter-Urban Differences in China Under the Context of the Simultaneous Rental and Sales Markets Policy," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 29(3), pages 29-38, September.
    2. Michał Hebdzyński, 2024. "Price-setting factors or revealed preferences? How to understand the results of hedonic models and hedonic indices of the housing rental market that base on listings data?," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 55(4), pages 519-550.
    3. Michal Rubaszek & Margarita Rubio, 2020. "Does the rental housing market stabilize the economy? A micro and macro perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 233-257, July.
    4. Michał Rubaszek & Adam Czerniak, 2017. "Preferencje Polaków dotyczące struktury własnościowej mieszkań: opis wyników ankiety," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 48(2), pages 197-234.
    5. Rapacki Ryszard & Czerniak Adam, 2018. "Emerging models of patchwork capitalism in Central and Eastern Europe: empirical results of subspace clustering," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 54(4), pages 251-268, December.
    6. Mateusz Tomal, 2022. "Testing for overall and cluster convergence of housing rents using robust methodology: evidence from Polish provincial capitals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 2023-2055, April.
    7. Shengqin Zheng & Ye Cheng & Yingjie Ju, 2019. "Understanding the Intention and Behavior of Renting Houses among the Young Generation: Evidence from Jinan, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-18, March.
    8. Czerniak, Adam & Borowski, Jakub & Boratyński, Jakub & Rosati, Dariusz, 2020. "Asset price bubbles in a monetary union: Mind the convergence gap," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 288-302.
    9. Camilo Meyberg & Ulrich Rendtel & Holger Leerhoff, 2024. "Flat rent price prediction in Berlin with web scraping," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 18(2), pages 245-278, June.
    10. Vítor Martins & Alessandro Turrini & Bořek Vašíček & Madalina Zamfir, 2021. "Euro Area Housing Markets: Trends, Challenges and Policy Responses," European Economy - Discussion Papers 147, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    11. Jakub Borowski & Adam Czerniak & Beáta Farkas, 2023. "Diverse Models of Capitalism and Synchronization of Business Cycles," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65(4), pages 681-712, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rental market; Housing sector; Panel data; Monetary union;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure

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