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Can Chinese investors manage climate risk domestically and globally?

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  • Liu, Yike
  • Xu, Zihan
  • Xing, Xiaoyun
  • Zhu, Yuxuan

Abstract

Climate risk is increasing and poses a risk for investors in China’s traditional stock market. In this paper, we construct a TVP-VAR-DY model and use benchmark regression and asset portfolio to explore the impact of climate risk on the Chinese stock market and whether assets with risk aversion attributes or green and low-carbon features can effectively manage climate risk. In particular, we compare China’s climate risk with global climate risk and explore transition and physical risks separately. The results show that climate risk does affect the Chinese stock market and that Chinese climate risk has a greater impact on the stock market than global climate risk. However, the good news is that the metal assets, as well as the equity-type and bond-type green assets, are effective in reducing cross-market spillovers under China’s climate risk, indicating that these assets can provide diversification benefits against climate-driven risks domestically. We also find that the metals and the equity-type assets could dampen the spillover effect against global transition risk, and the bond-type ones serve this function against global physical risk. The results further show that, for China’s stock market investors, adding green bonds to their portfolios could reduce the downside risk, regardless of climate risk type or origin. In addition, we can infer that investors are suggested to use traditional safe-haven assets and bond-type green ones to manage climate risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Yike & Xu, Zihan & Xing, Xiaoyun & Zhu, Yuxuan, 2024. "Can Chinese investors manage climate risk domestically and globally?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:96:y:2024:i:pb:s1059056024006567
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103664
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate risk; Stock market; Investment portfolio analysis; TVP-VAR-DY model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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