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Connecting logistics performance to export: A scenario-based approach

Author

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  • Kabak, Özgür
  • Ülengin, Füsun
  • Önsel Ekici, Şule

Abstract

We propose a novel scenario analysis-based approach to investigate the relationship between logistics performance and exports at a country level. Different from the existing scenario analysis methods that contain subjectivity in measuring consistency, the proposed approach uses objective information rather than expert opinions. We propose a binary integer program to select significantly different, consistent and small number of efficient scenarios. On the basis of the selected scenarios, we develop a new approach for evaluating the performance of strategies across a series of scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Kabak, Özgür & Ülengin, Füsun & Önsel Ekici, Şule, 2018. "Connecting logistics performance to export: A scenario-based approach," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 69-82.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:70:y:2018:i:c:p:69-82
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2018.05.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Ioannis Katrakylidis & Michael Madas, 2020. "Catching-up effects in the logistics industry and the dynamic linkages with international trade and economic growth: empirical evidence from an international panel dataset," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 197-205.
    2. Huynh, Cong Minh & Hong, Thien Huong, 2022. "The multi-dimension of international logistics performance and export flows: An empirical study from developing countries," MPRA Paper 112444, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Önsel Ekici, Şule & Kabak, Özgür & Ülengin, Füsun, 2019. "Improving logistics performance by reforming the pillars of Global Competitiveness Index," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 197-207.
    4. Ulengin, Fusun & Cekyay, Bora & Isik, Mine & Ozaydin, Ozay & Kabak, Özgür & Toktaş-Palut, Peral & Ekici, Sule Onsel & Topcu, Y. Ilker, 2021. "A simulation-based approach for improving the largest border crossing between Europe and Turkey," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 350-363.
    5. João Gilberto Mendes dos Reis & Pedro Sanches Amorim & José António Sarsfield Pereira Cabral & Rodrigo Carlo Toloi, 2020. "The Impact of Logistics Performance on Argentina, Brazil, and the US Soybean Exports from 2012 to 2018: A Gravity Model Approach," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-21, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Logistics performance; Scenario analysis; Export;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C65 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Miscellaneous Mathematical Tools
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General

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