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The Winner Takes It All: Investor Sentiment and the Eurovision Song Contest

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  • Abudy, Menachem (Meni)
  • Mugerman, Yevgeny
  • Shust, Efrat

Abstract

This paper investigates the stock market reaction to a change in investor mood following the Eurovision Song Contest—an annual international song competition and one of the most watched non-sporting events globally. Contrary to existing literature on international competitions, we find a positive swing in investor sentiment in the winning country. The elevated atmosphere is reflected in a positive abnormal return of approximately 0.35% on the first trading day after the victory. This finding is robust to various event-study methods and to various benchmarks. This positive return is reversed several days later. Further, we do not find any indication of negative sentiment in other participating countries; specifically, in countries perceived as the losers of the contest. Finally, we do not find any indication that the positive market reaction reflects economic benefits stemming from a victory. Overall, we conjecture that a competition structure is an important determinant of investor sentiment in stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Abudy, Menachem (Meni) & Mugerman, Yevgeny & Shust, Efrat, 2022. "The Winner Takes It All: Investor Sentiment and the Eurovision Song Contest," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:137:y:2022:i:c:s0378426622000322
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106432
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    3. Meni Abudy, Menachem & Mugerman, Yevgeny & Shust, Efrat, 2023. "National pride, investor sentiment, and stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor sentiment; Investor mood; Stock market reaction; Price reversal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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