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By the light of day: The effect of the switch to winter time on stock markets

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  • Mugerman, Yevgeny
  • Yidov, Orr
  • Wiener, Zvi

Abstract

We studied the effect of the shift from Daylight Saving Time (summer time) to Standard Time (winter time) on stock markets around the globe. Using a detailed cross-country data set of daily returns, we documented that (a) market returns on the day following the time shift were significantly lower than those on the corresponding day of the week unaffected by the change; (b) the economic magnitude of the effect was substantial, on average 5–6 times greater than the unconditional mean of market returns; and (c) the outcome was more prominent in local, relatively small markets. Furthermore, we attempted to identify the mechanism underlying the gloomy market returns accompanying the switch to winter time. Our results suggest that the mechanism underlying the effect may be based on the temporary loss of investor internal clock harmony.

Suggested Citation

  • Mugerman, Yevgeny & Yidov, Orr & Wiener, Zvi, 2020. "By the light of day: The effect of the switch to winter time on stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:65:y:2020:i:c:s1042443120300810
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2020.101197
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    Cited by:

    1. Abudy, Menachem (Meni) & Mugerman, Yevgeny & Shust, Efrat, 2022. "The Winner Takes It All: Investor Sentiment and the Eurovision Song Contest," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    2. Abudy, Menachem (Meni) & Mugerman, Yevgeny & Wiener, Zvi, 2021. "Stock markets and female participation in the labor force," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. (Meni) Abudy, Menachem & Gildin, Ilan & Mugerman, Yevgeny, 2022. "Do computerized traders follow social norms? Evidence from the holocaust remembrance moment of silence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    4. Waldemar Tarczyński & Sebastian Majewski & Małgorzata Tarczyńska-Łuniewska & Agnieszka Majewska & Grzegorz Mentel, 2021. "The Impact of Weather Factors on Quotations of Energy Sector Companies on Warsaw Stock Exchange," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor psychology; Capital markets; Policy; Behavioral finance; Market efficiency; Winter time;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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