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The exchange rate and optimal monetary policy rules in open and developing economies: Some simple analytics

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  • Cavoli, Tony

Abstract

Using a simple, tractable model, this paper revisits and expands upon issues relating to optimal monetary policy rules (MPRs) in open economies. The optimality of the rule is explored through various specifications of a central bank loss function as it is the loss function that offers insight into central bank preferences. Many of the issues on this topic have centred on the role of the exchange rate: Is it optimal for the policy instrument to react to the exchange rate? What is the role of the exchange rate in a domestic inflation targeting vs CPI inflation targeting? Does a fear of floating have any bearing on the way optimal MPRs are constructed? While this paper is not empirical, the analysis is relevant for central banks in open and developing economies that face a choice between allowing exchange rates to float (and adopting an inflation targeting regime) and engaging in some degree of exchange rate fixity.

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  • Cavoli, Tony, 2008. "The exchange rate and optimal monetary policy rules in open and developing economies: Some simple analytics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 1011-1021, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:25:y:2008:i:5:p:1011-1021
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    Cited by:

    1. Berganza, Juan Carlos & Broto, Carmen, 2012. "Flexible inflation targets, forex interventions and exchange rate volatility in emerging countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 428-444.
    2. Marc Pourroy, 2013. "Inflation-Targeting and Foreign Exchange Interventions in Emerging Economies," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00881359, HAL.
    3. Mikael Bask, 2014. "A Case For Interest Rate Inertia In Monetary Policy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(2), pages 140-159, March.
    4. Shinji Takagi & Vitalie Ciubotaru, 2013. "Putting the Pieces Together: The Moldovan Exchange Rate Policy Puzzle," Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology, vol. 5(1).
    5. repec:hal:journl:halshs-00881359 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Cavoli, Tony, 2010. "What Drives Monetary Policy in Post-Crisis East Asia? Interest Rate or Exchange Rate Monetary Policy Rules," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 456-465, October.
    7. Cavoli, Tony & Wilson, John K., 2015. "Corruption, central bank (in)dependence and optimal monetary policy in a simple model," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 501-509.
    8. repec:eee:reveco:v:50:y:2017:i:c:p:196-244 is not listed on IDEAS

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