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Election cycles in natural resource rents: Empirical evidence

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  • Klomp, Jeroen
  • de Haan, Jakob

Abstract

We examine whether governments' natural resource rents are affected by upcoming elections and if so, whether the incumbent uses these additional rents for re-election purposes. Estimates of a dynamic panel model for about 60 countries for 1975–2011 suggest that elections increase natural resource rents. The incumbent uses these rents for expanding public spending and reducing taxes before elections. However, these electoral cycle effects are statistically significant only in young democracies. Our results also suggest that election effects are stronger in countries with limited access to free media, limited political checks and balances, and a presidential system.

Suggested Citation

  • Klomp, Jeroen & de Haan, Jakob, 2016. "Election cycles in natural resource rents: Empirical evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 79-93.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:deveco:v:121:y:2016:i:c:p:79-93
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.03.002
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    8. Daniel Chachu, 2021. "Good institutions and tax revenue outcomes in resource-rich countries: When 'good' is not enough," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-75, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
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    10. Raveh, Ohad & Tsur, Yacov, 2020. "Resource windfalls and public debt: A political economy perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political budget cycles; Natural resources; Rent seeking;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q3 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation

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