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The impact of climate change on farming system selection in Ghana

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  • Etwire, Prince Maxwell

Abstract

Farmers are already responding to climate change by adjusting their practices. An important adaptation strategy is the switching of farm types, that is, switching from a vulnerable farming system to one that is more resilient. Using household, farm, and climate data (8700 observations) from Ghana, we estimate a multinomial logit in order to determine the factors that influence the selection of farm types and the implications of those choices. As expected, we find that climate determines the choice of farming system. Based on the multinomial estimates, a simulation of the effects of climate change shows that farmers will likely adapt by switching from environmentally sensitive specialised food-crop and tree-based (plantation) farms to specialised livestock and mixed (food-crop and livestock) farms. All things being equal, a decline in tree-based farms resulting from a climate induced agro-ecological shift (for example, conversion of forest to savannah) or a shortening of the growing season will imply a drop in the aggregate value of agricultural output since plantations are currently the most profitable farm type.

Suggested Citation

  • Etwire, Prince Maxwell, 2020. "The impact of climate change on farming system selection in Ghana," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:179:y:2020:i:c:s0308521x1930126x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2019.102773
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    5. Evans Sumabe Batung & Kamaldeen Mohammed & Moses Mosonsieyiri Kansanga & Hanson Nyantakyi-Frimpong & Isaac Luginaah, 2023. "Credit access and perceived climate change resilience of smallholder farmers in semi-arid northern Ghana," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 321-350, January.

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