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Modeling spatial price transmission in the grain markets of Ethiopia with an application of ARDL approach to white teff

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  • Kindie Getnet
  • Wim Verbeke
  • Jacques Viaene

Abstract

Following the agricultural market liberalization policy, there is an emerging grain market structure in Ethiopia in which the central wholesale market exhibits concentration of power and spatial integration with the local markets. Due to this, it is hypothesized that the central wholesale market influences the long‐run price movements in the local markets. The relationship can be modeled as spatial price equilibrium with the aim to guide subsequent policy decisions with regard to public intervention in the post‐liberalization period. In this study, we modeled the spatial equilibrium relationship between the producer and the wholesale prices of white teff, a major staple in Ethiopia, using the autoregressive distributed lag modeling approach to cointegration analysis. First, the existence of a nonspurious long‐run relationship in levels between the producer prices in the local market and the wholesale prices in the central market is confirmed. Second, the long‐run relationship and the error correction model for the producer price are estimated. The results reveal that the wholesale price of white teff in the central consumer market is a major short‐ and long‐run determinant of the producer price in the local supply markets. Therefore, the institutional role of the government with the aim of improving producers' marketing margin and the overall performance of the grain markets in the post‐liberalization period can be influenced through targeted interventions at the central wholesale market.

Suggested Citation

  • Kindie Getnet & Wim Verbeke & Jacques Viaene, 2005. "Modeling spatial price transmission in the grain markets of Ethiopia with an application of ARDL approach to white teff," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 33(s3), pages 491-502, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:33:y:2005:i:s3:p:491-502
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1574-0864.2005.00469.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Sassi, Maria & Mamo, Yonas Abera, 2019. "Vertical price transmission in the white teff market in Ethiopia," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 58(2), March.
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    5. Deb, Prokash & Dey, Madan M. & Surathkal, Prasanna, 2021. "Fish Price Transmission and Market Integration along the Vertical Value Chain in Bangladesh," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314073, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Ebata, Ayako & Velasco, Pamela & von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan, 2015. "Distance to market and farm-gate prices of staple beans in rural Nicaragua," GlobalFood Discussion Papers 197540, Georg-August-Universitaet Goettingen, GlobalFood, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development.
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    9. Ebata, Ayako & Pacheco, Pamela Alejandra & Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan von, 2015. "Distance to market and farm-gate prices of staple beans in rural Nicaragua," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211582, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
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    11. Durevall, Dick & Loening, Josef L. & Ayalew Birru, Yohannes, 2013. "Inflation dynamics and food prices in Ethiopia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 89-106.
    12. Valdes, Rodrigo & Von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan & Engler, Alejandra, 2015. "Transaction costs and trade liberalization: An empirical perspective from the MERCOSUR agreement," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 109-116.
    13. Quattri, Maria A., "undated". "On trade efficiency in the Ethiopian agricultural markets," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122512, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. Riera, O. & Minten, B., 2018. "Mobile phones and agricultural market performance in Ethiopia," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277107, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    15. Bartleet, Matthew & Gounder, Rukmani, 2010. "Energy consumption and economic growth in New Zealand: Results of trivariate and multivariate models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3508-3517, July.
    16. Yami, Mesay & Meyer, Ferdi & Hassan, Rashid, 2016. "Testing price leadership role in major regional maize markets in Ethiopia," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 249439, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    17. Kindie Getnet, 2009. "Optimising the policy cost of market stabilisation: Which commodity matters most in Ethiopia?," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 362-378.
    18. Kabbiri, Ronald & Dora, Manoj & Elepu, Gabriel & Gellynck, Xavier, 2016. "A Global Perspective of Food Market Integration: A Review," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 55(01-2), May.
    19. Mohammad Ismail Hossain & Wim Verbeke, 2010. "Evaluation of Rice Markets Integration in Bangladesh," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 15(2), pages 77-96, Jul-Dec.
    20. Getnet, Kindie, 2008. "From market liberalization to market development: The need for market institutions in Ethiopia," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 239-252, September.
    21. Li, Zhuo & Panza, Laura & Song, Yong, 2019. "The evolution of ottoman–European market linkages, 1469–1914: Evidence from dynamic factor models," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 112-134.
    22. Tione, Sarah Ephridah, 2011. "Analysis of Effectiveness of Modern Information and Communication Technologies on Maize Marketing Efficiency in Lilongwe and Dedza Districts and Selected Markets of Malawi," Research Theses 198525, Collaborative Masters Program in Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    23. Loening, Josef L. & Durevall, Dick & Ayalew Birru, Yohannes, 2009. "Inflation Dynamics and Food Prices in an Agricultural Economy: The Case of Ethiopia," Working Papers in Economics 347, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    24. José César Cruz Junior & Daniel H D Capitani & Rodrigo L F Silveira, 2018. "The effect of Brazilian corn and soybean crop expansion on price and volatility transmission," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 2273-2283.
    25. Yami, Mesay & Meyer, Ferdi & Hassan, Rashid, 2016. "Modelling price formation and dynamics in the Ethiopian maize market," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 249346, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).

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