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The Dynamics of Housing Returns in Singapore: How Important are the International Transmission Mechanisms?

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  • Chang, Kuang Liang
  • Chen, Nan Kuang
  • Leung, Charles Ka Yui

Abstract

This paper studies the dynamics of housing returns in Singapore. We first extract the movements of Singapore's economic aggregates that are free from foreign (U.S. and rest of the world) factors, and then examine the determinants of its housing returns. We find that both the domestic variables (such as GDP growth rate, volume of international trade, and exchange rate) and U.S. variables (such as the Federal Fund Rate and the External Finance Premium) are important during the boom regime. The bust regime is very different. Directions for future research are discussed.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 32255.

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Date of creation: 2011
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:32255

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Keywords: house price; international transmission mechanism; regime-switching; regime-dependent response; two-stage procedure.;

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Cited by:
  1. Chang, Kuang Liang & Chen, Nan Kuang & Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2011. "In the Shadow of the United States: The International Transmission Effect of Asset Returns," MPRA Paper 32776, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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