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Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia: An Empirical Perpective

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Author Info
Hanno Lustig
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

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Abstract

In a model with housing collateral, the ratio of housing wealth to human wealth shifts the conditional distribution of asset prices and consumption growth. A decrease in house prices reduces the collateral value of housing, increases household exposure to idiosyncratic risk, and increases the conditional market price of risk. Using aggregate data for the US, we find that a decrease in the ratio of housing wealth to human wealth predicts higher returns on stocks. Conditional on this ratio, the covariance of returns with aggregate risk factors explains eighty percent of the cross-sectional variation in annual size and book-to-market portfolio returns. A data appendix for this paper is available.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 9959.

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Date of creation: Sep 2003
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9959

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G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.

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