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Hedging House Price Risk With Incomplete Markets

Author

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  • Joao Cocco

    (London Business School)

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of house price risk on the optimal asset and consumption choices of a finitely lived investor who derives utility from the consumption of both housing and other goods. Frictions considered in the model include transaction costs of selling a house, uninsurable labor income risk and borrowing constraints. I find that transaction costs of selling a house reduce consumers' ability to use assets to buffer the effects of income shocks on consumption. Positive correlation between income shocks and house price shocks restricts investors' ability to time their asset choices, leads to higher leverage, and crowds out housing investment. In the presence of positive correlation housing equity and borrowing capacity are reduced at times when the marginal utility of consumption is large. The effects of positive correlation on investor welfare are particularly large for moderate levels of risk aversion.

Suggested Citation

  • Joao Cocco, 2000. "Hedging House Price Risk With Incomplete Markets," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 317, Society for Computational Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf0:317
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hanno N. Lustig & Stijn G. Van Nieuwerburgh, 2005. "Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance, and Risk Premia: An Empirical Perspective," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(3), pages 1167-1219, June.
    2. Todd Sinai & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2005. "Owner-Occupied Housing as a Hedge Against Rent Risk," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 120(2), pages 763-789.
    3. M.I. Dröes & H Garretsen & W.J.J. Manshanden, 2012. "The Diversification Benefits of Free Trade in House Value," Working Papers 12-03, Utrecht School of Economics.
    4. Iacoviello, Matteo & Ortalo-Magne, Francois, 2003. "Hedging Housing Risk in London," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 191-209, September.
    5. Shuo Liu & Jin Wang & Weixing Wu, 2017. "To buy or not to buy: household risk hedging of housing costs," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 57(5), pages 1417-1445, December.
    6. Davidoff, Thomas, 2006. "Labor income, housing prices, and homeownership," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 209-235, March.
    7. Joseph B. Nichols, 2007. "Nominal mortgage contracts and the effects of inflation on portfolio allocation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-67, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. William Cheung & Lewen Guo & Yuichiro Kawaguchi, 2021. "Automated valuation model for residential rental markets: evidence from Japan," Journal of Spatial Econometrics, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 1-34, December.
    9. Charles Himmelberg & Christopher Mayer & Todd Sinai, 2005. "Assessing High House Prices: Bubbles, Fundamentals and Misperceptions," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 67-92, Fall.
    10. Juerg Syz & Paolo Vanini & Marco Salvi, 2008. "Property Derivatives and Index-Linked Mortgages," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 23-35, January.
    11. Sousa, Ricardo M., 2009. "Wealth effects on consumption: evidence from the euro area," Working Paper Series 1050, European Central Bank.
    12. Todd Sinai & Nicholas Souleles, 2013. "Can Owning a Home Hedge the Risk of Moving?," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 282-312, May.
    13. Yoshida, Jiro, 2017. "Stock Prices, Regional Housing Prices, and Aggregate Technology Shocks," HIT-REFINED Working Paper Series 72, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    14. Luca Benzoni & Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Robert S. Goldstein, 2005. "Portfolio Choice over the Life-Cycle in the Presence of 'Trickle Down' Labor Income," NBER Working Papers 11247, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Hanno Lustig, 2004. "Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia: an Empirical Perspective (joint with Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh), forthcoming Journal of Finance," UCLA Economics Online Papers 300, UCLA Department of Economics.
    16. Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2002. "Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia," Macroeconomics 0211008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Joseph Nichols, 2004. "A Life-cycle Model with Housing, Portfolio Allocation, and Mortgage Financing," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 205, Econometric Society.
    18. Mr. Nicolas R Blancher & François Haas & Mr. John Kiff & Ms. Oksana Khadarina & Mr. Paul S. Mills & Parmeshwar Ramlogan & Mr. William Lee & Ms. Yoon Sook Kim & Todd Groome & Mr. Shinobu Nakagawa, 2006. "The Limits of Market-Based Risk Transfer and Implications for Managing Systemic Risks," IMF Working Papers 2006/217, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Černý, Aleš & Miles, David & Schmidt, L'Ubomír, 2010. "The impact of changing demographics and pensions on the demand for housing and financial assets," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 393-420, July.
    20. Ricardo M. Sousa, 2007. "Wealth Shocks and Risk Aversion," NIPE Working Papers 28/2007, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    21. Ortalo-Magne, Francois & Rady, Sven, 2002. "Tenure choice and the riskiness of non-housing consumption," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 266-279, September.

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