Asset Market Participation, Monetary Policy Rules and the Great Inflation
Abstract
This paper argues that limited asset market participation is crucial in explaining U.S. macroeconomic performance and monetary policy before the 1980s, and their changes thereafter. We develop an otherwise standard sticky-price DSGE model, whereby at low enough asset market participation, standard aggregate demand logic is inverted: interest rate increases become expansionary. Thereby, a passive monetary policy rule ensures equilibrium determinacy and maximizes welfare, suggesting that Federal Reserve policy in the pre-Volcker era was better than conventional wisdom suggests. We provide empirical evidence consistent with this hypothesis, and study the relative merits of changes in structure and shocks for reproducing the conquest of the Great Inflation and the Great Moderation.Download Info
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Bibliographic Info
Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 8555.Length:
Date of creation: Sep 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8555
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Related research
Keywords: aggregate demand; Bayesian estimation; Great Inflation; Great Moderation; limited asset markets participation; passive monetary policy rules; real (in)determinacy;Other versions of this item:
- Roland Straub & Florin O. Bilbiie, 2012. "Asset market participation, monetary policy rules and the great inflation," Working Paper Series 1438, European Central Bank.
- Florin Bilbiie & Roland Straub, 2006. "Asset Market Participation, Monetary Policy Rules, and the Great Inflation," IMF Working Papers 06/200, International Monetary Fund.
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
- E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
- N12 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
- N22 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-09-16 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2011-09-16 (Central Banking)
- NEP-DGE-2011-09-16 (Dynamic General Equilibrium)
- NEP-MAC-2011-09-16 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-MON-2011-09-16 (Monetary Economics)
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- B. Hofmann & G. Peersman & R. Straub, 2010.
"Time Variation in U.S. Wage Dynamics,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
10/691, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Hofmann, Boris & Peersman, Gert & Straub, Roland, 2012. "Time variation in U.S. wage dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(8), pages 769-783.
- Roland Straub & Gert Peersman & Boris Hofmann, 2011. "Time Variation in U.S. Wage Dynamics," 2011 Meeting Papers 331, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman & Roland Straub, 2010. "Time Variation in U.S. Wage Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 3291, CESifo Group Munich.
- Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman & Roland Straub, 2010. "Time variation in U.S. wage dynamics," Working Paper Series 1230, European Central Bank.
- Bilbiie, Florin Ovidiu & Monacelli, Tommaso & Perotti, Roberto, 2012.
"Public Debt and Redistribution with Borrowing Constraints,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9088, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Florin Bilbiie & Tommaso Monacelli & Roberto Perotti, 2012. "Public Debt and Redistribution with Borrowing Constraints," Working Papers 435, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Florin Bilbiie & Tommaso Monacelli & Roberto Perotti, 2012. "Public Debt and Redistribution with Borrowing Constraints," Working Papers 448, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Alina Barnett & Roland Straub, 2008. "What drives U.S. current account fluctuations?," Working Paper Series 959, European Central Bank.
- Bilbiie, Florin O. & Straub, Roland, 2012.
"Changes in the output Euler equation and asset markets participation,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,
Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 1659-1672.
- Florin Bilbiie & Roland Straub, 2012. "Changes in the Output Euler Equation and Asset Markets Participation," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00680647, HAL.
- Canzoneri, Matthew & Cumby, Robert & Diba, Behzad & López-Salido, David, 2011. "The role of liquid government bonds in the great transformation of American monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 282-294, March.
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