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Structural changes in the US economy: Is there a role for monetary policy?

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Author Info
Canova, Fabio
Gambetti, Luca
Abstract

This paper investigates the contribution of monetary policy to the changes in output growth and inflation dynamics in the US. We identify a policy shock and a policy rule in a time-varying coefficients VAR using robust sign restrictions. The transmission of policy shocks has been relatively stable. The variance of the policy shock has decreased over time, but policy shocks account for a small fraction of the level and the variations in inflation and output growth volatility and persistence. Finally we find little evidence of a significant increase in the long run response of the interest rate to inflation.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V85-4TCHKFX-1/2/245515b8c8731a4099ea84533fe25109
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

Volume (Year): 33 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 (February)
Pages: 477-490
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Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:33:y:2009:i:2:p:477-490

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary policy Inflation persistence Transmission of shocks Time-varying coefficients structural VARs;

Cited by:
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  1. Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli & Eva Ortega, 2009. "Do institutional changes affect business cycles? Evidence from Europe," Economics Working Papers 1158, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  2. Olivier J. Blanchard & Marianna Riggi, 2009. "Why are the 2000s so different from the 1970s? A structural interpretation of changes in the macroeconomic effects of oil prices," NBER Working Papers 15467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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