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Heterogeneous Beliefs and Asset Price Dynamics: A Survey of Recent Evidence

In: Uncertainty, Expectations and Asset Price Dynamics

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  • Saskia ter Ellen

    (Norges Bank)

  • Willem F. C. Verschoor

    (Tinbergen Institute and VU University)

Abstract

This contribution reviews the empirical literature on heterogeneous beliefs and asset price dynamics that challenges the traditional rational agent framework. Emphasis is given to the validation and estimation of (dynamic) heterogeneous agent models that have their roots in the agent-based literature. Heterogeneous agent models perform well in describing, explaining and often forecasting asset markets dynamics, such as equities, foreign exchange, credit, housing, derivatives and commodities. Our survey suggests that heterogeneous agent models have the ability to produce important stylised facts observed in financial time series and to replicate important episodes of financial turmoil.

Suggested Citation

  • Saskia ter Ellen & Willem F. C. Verschoor, 2018. "Heterogeneous Beliefs and Asset Price Dynamics: A Survey of Recent Evidence," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Fredj Jawadi (ed.), Uncertainty, Expectations and Asset Price Dynamics, pages 53-79, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:dymchp:978-3-319-98714-9_3
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-98714-9_3
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    5. Filippo Gusella & Giorgio Ricchiuti, 2021. "State Space Model to Detect Cycles in Heterogeneous Agents Models," Working Papers - Economics wp2021_10.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    6. Filippo Gusella & Giorgio Ricchiuti, 2022. "A State-Space Approach for Time-Series Prediction of an Heterogeneous Agent Model," Working Papers - Economics wp2022_20.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
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