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The Heterogeneous Expectations Hypothesis: Some Evidence from the Lab

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  • Hommes, C.H.

    ()
    (University of Amsterdam)

Abstract

This paper surveys learning to forecast experiments (LtFEs) with human subjects to test theories of expectations and learning. Subjects must repeatedly forecast a market price, whose realization is an aggregation of individual forecasts. Emphasis is given to how individual forecasting rules interact at the micro level and which structure they co-create at the aggregate, macro level. In particular, we focus on the question wether the evidence from laboratory experiments is consistent with heterogeneous expectations.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance in its series CeNDEF Working Papers with number 10-06.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:ams:ndfwpp:10-06

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Postal: Dept. of Economics and Econometrics, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Roetersstraat 11, NL - 1018 WB Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Phone: + 31 20 525 52 58
Fax: + 31 20 525 52 83
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Web page: http://www.fee.uva.nl/cendef/
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