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Behavioral heterogeneity in the option market

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Author Info

  • Frijns, Bart
  • Lehnert, Thorsten
  • Zwinkels, Remco C.J.

Abstract

This paper develops and tests a heterogeneous agents model for the option market. Our agents have different beliefs about the future level of volatility of the underlying stock index and trade accordingly. We consider two types of agents: fundamentalists and chartists, who are able to switch between groups according to a multinomial logit switching rule. The model simplifies to a GARCH-type specification with time-varying parameters. Estimation results for DAX30 index options reveal that different types of traders are actively involved in trading volatility. Our model improves frequently used standard GARCH-type models in terms of pricing performance.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

Volume (Year): 34 (2010)
Issue (Month): 11 (November)
Pages: 2273-2287

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Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:34:y:2010:i:11:p:2273-2287

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Related research

Keywords: Heterogeneous agents Option markets Fundamentalists Chartists GARCH;

References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Adriana Cornea & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 2013. "Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-015/II, Tinbergen Institute.
  2. Ellen, Saskia ter & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2010. "Oil price dynamics: A behavioral finance approach with heterogeneous agents," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1427-1434, November.
  3. Fischer, Thomas, 2011. "News Reaction in Financial Markets within a Behavioral Finance Model with Heterogeneous Agents," Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics 54196, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute of Economics (VWL).
  4. Frijns, Bart & Lehnert, Thorsten & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2011. "Modeling structural changes in the volatility process," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 522-532, June.
  5. Adriana Cornea & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 2013. "Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-015/II, Tinbergen Institute.
  6. Jiri Kukacka & Jozef Barunik, 2012. "Behavioural breaks in the heterogeneous agent model: the impact of herding, overconfidence, and market sentiment," Papers 1205.3763, arXiv.org, revised May 2013.
  7. Hommes, Cars, 2011. "The heterogeneous expectations hypothesis: Some evidence from the lab," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 1-24, January.
  8. Carl Chiarella & Xue-Zhong He & Weihong Huang & Huanhuan Zheng, 2011. "Estimating Behavioural Heterogeneity Under Regime Switching," Research Paper Series 290, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  9. Anufriev, M. & Tuinstra, J. & Bao, T., 2013. "Fund Choice Behavior and Estimation of Switching Models: An Experiment," CeNDEF Working Papers 13-04, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  10. Lof, Matthijs, 2012. "Heterogeneity in stock prices: A STAR model with multivariate transition function," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1845-1854.
  11. Jongen, Ron & Verschoor, Willem F.C. & Wolff, Christian C.P. & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2012. "Explaining dispersion in foreign exchange expectations: A heterogeneous agent approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 719-735.

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