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Underreaction, Overreaction, and Increasing Misreaction to Information in the Options Market

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Author Info
Allen M. Poteshman
Abstract

This paper investigates options market reaction to changes in the instantaneous variance of the underlying asset. There are three main findings. First, options market investors underreact to individual daily changes in instantaneous variance. Second, these same investors overreact to periods of mostly increasing or mostly decreasing daily changes in instantaneous variance. Third, they tend to underreact (overreact) to current daily changes in instantaneous variance that are preceded mostly by daily changes of the opposite (same) sign. The third finding can reconcile the first two and is also consistent with well-established cognitive biases. Copyright The American Finance Association 2001.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 56 (2001)
Issue (Month): 3 (06)
Pages: 851-876
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:56:y:2001:i:3:p:851-876

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  1. Han, Bin, 2004. "Limits of Arbitrage, Sentiment and Pricing Kernal: Evidences from Index Options," Working Paper Series 2004-2, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Garleanu, Nicolae Bogdan & Pedersen, Lasse Heje & Poteshman, Allen M, 2005. "Demand-Based Option Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 5420, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Bams, Dennis & Lehnert, Thorsten & Wolff, Christian C, 2005. "Loss Functions in Option Valuation: A Framework for Model Selection," CEPR Discussion Papers 4960, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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