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Price discovery in petroleum markets: Arbitrage, cointegration, and the time interval of analysis

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Cited by:

  1. Sebastian Nick, 2016. "The Informational Efficiency of European Natural Gas Hubs: Price Formation and Intertemporal Arbitrage," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(2), pages 1-30, April.
  2. Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Shao, Hao-Lin & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2019. "Time-varying lead–lag structure between the crude oil spot and futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 723-733.
  3. Jena, Sangram Keshari & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Distributional predictability between commodity spot and futures: Evidence from nonparametric causality-in-quantiles tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 615-628.
  4. Kim, Man-Keun & Tejeda, Hernan & Wright, Jeffrey, 2016. "Price Discovery in the U.S. Milled Rice Markets using a Cluster Analysis and Tournament," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235725, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  5. Miroslava Zavadska & Lucía Morales & Joseph Coughlan, 2018. "The Lead–Lag Relationship between Oil Futures and Spot Prices—A Literature Review," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-22, October.
  6. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Papadamou, Stephanos & Koulis, Alexandros, 2020. "Price discovery in bitcoin futures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  7. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2024. "Volatility spillovers across the spot and futures oil markets after news announcements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
  8. Kesicki, Fabian, 2010. "The third oil price surge - What's different this time?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1596-1606, March.
  9. Bohl, Martin T. & Siklos, Pierre L. & Stefan, Martin & Wellenreuther, Claudia, 2020. "Price discovery in agricultural commodity markets: Do speculators contribute?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 18(C).
  10. Theissen, Erik, 2002. "Price discovery in floor and screen trading systems," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 455-474, November.
  11. Asche, Frank & Misund, Bard & Oglend, Atle, 2015. "The Spot-Forward Relationship in the Atlantic Salmon Market," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/16, University of Stavanger.
  12. Arnade, Carlos & Hoffman, Linwood, 2016. "Maize Price Relationships in a Changing International Market: Have Brazil and/or Ukraine Crossed a Threshold?," 2017 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2017, Chicago, Illinois 250116, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  13. Friedrich, Marina & Mauer, Eva-Maria & Pahle, Michael & Tietjen, Oliver, 2020. "From fundamentals to financial assets: the evolution of understanding price formation in the EU ETS," EconStor Preprints 196150, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, revised 2020.
  14. Selmi, Refk & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kasmaoui, Kamal & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Errami, Youssef, 2022. "The dual shocks of the COVID-19 and the oil price collapse: A spark or a setback for the circular economy?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  15. Jing Hao & Xiong Xiong & Feng He & Feng Ma, 2019. "Price Discovery in the Chinese Stock Index Futures Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(13), pages 2982-2996, October.
  16. Hooi Hooi Lean & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2013. "Risk-averse and Risk-seeking Investor Preferences for Oil Spot and Futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-31, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Aug 2013.
  17. Romain Menier & Guillaume Bagnarosa & Alexandre Gohin, 2024. "On the dependence structure of European vegetable oil markets," Post-Print hal-04523660, HAL.
  18. Vijay Singal & Jitendra Tayal, 2020. "Risky short positions and investor sentiment: Evidence from the weekend effect in futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 479-500, March.
  19. LI, Jie & HUANG, Lixin & LI, Ping, 2021. "Are Chinese crude oil futures good hedging tools?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  20. Xu, Xiaojie, 2014. "Price Discovery in U.S. Corn Cash and Futures Markets: The Role of Cash Market Selection," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169809, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  21. Mohammed Arshad Khan & Md. Mobashshir Hussain & Asif Pervez & Mohd Atif & Rohit Bansal & Hamad A. Alhumoudi & Miaochao Chen, 2022. "Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19," Journal of Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-9, August.
  22. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gungor, Hasan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2015. "The time-varying causality between spot and futures crude oil prices: A regime switching approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 51-71.
  23. Martin Stefan & Claudia Wellenreuther, 2019. "London vs. Leipzig: Price Discovery of Carbon Futures during Phase III of the ETS," CQE Working Papers 8719, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
  24. Sila Alan, Nazli & Karagozoglu, Ahmet K. & Korkmaz, Sibel, 2016. "Growing pains: The evolution of new stock index futures in emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-16.
  25. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ilnara Gafiatullina & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2018. "Determinants of intraday price discovery in VIX exchange traded notes," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 535-548, May.
  26. Karin Niehoff, 2016. "Price Discovery in Voting and Non-Voting Stocks," Schmalenbach Business Review, Springer;Schmalenbach-Gesellschaft, vol. 17(3), pages 285-307, December.
  27. Sepideh Dolatabadi & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Ke Xu, 2015. "A Fractionally Cointegrated VAR Analysis of Price Discovery in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 339-356, April.
  28. Dedi, Valentina & Mandilaras, Alex, 2022. "Trader positions and the price of oil in the futures market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 448-460.
  29. Orawan Ratanapakorn & Subhash Sharma, 2007. "Dynamic analysis between the US stock returns and the macroeconomic variables," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 369-377.
  30. Raushan Kumar, 2017. "Price Discovery in Some Primary Commodity Markets in India," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(3), pages 1817-1829.
  31. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2018. "An analysis of time-varying commodity market price discovery," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 122-133.
  32. Joshua G. Maples & B. Wade Brorsen, 2022. "Handling the discontinuity in futures prices when time series modeling of commodity cash and futures prices," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(2), pages 139-152, June.
  33. Anja Frommherz, 2019. "Price discovery of German index derivatives during financial turmoil," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 147-179, February.
  34. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2019. "Intraday price discovery and volatility spillovers in an emerging market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 333-346.
  35. Chen, Fan & Linn, Scott C., 2017. "Investment and operating choice: Oil and natural gas futures prices and drilling activity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 54-68.
  36. Caner Ozdurak & Veysel Ulusoy, 2020. "Price Discovery in Crude Oil Markets: Intraday Volatility Interactions between Crude Oil Futures and Energy Exchange Traded Funds," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 402-413.
  37. Raushan Kumar, 2021. "Predicting Wheat Futures Prices in India," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(1), pages 121-140, March.
  38. Ghadhab, Imen & Hellara, Slaheddine, 2016. "Price discovery of cross-listed firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 177-188.
  39. Shrestha, Keshab & Subramaniam, Ravichandran & Peranginangin, Yessy & Philip, Sheena Sara Suresh, 2018. "Quantile hedge ratio for energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 253-272.
  40. Lammerding, Marc & Stephan, Patrick & Trede, Mark & Wilfling, Bernd, 2013. "Speculative bubbles in recent oil price dynamics: Evidence from a Bayesian Markov-switching state-space approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 491-502.
  41. Li, Miao & Xiong, Tao, 2021. "Dynamic price discovery in Chinese agricultural futures markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  42. Alper Ozun & Erman Erbaykal, 2009. "Detecting risk transmission from futures to spot markets without data stationarity: Evidence from Turkey's markets," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 10(4), pages 365-376, August.
  43. Fassas, Athanasios P., 2021. "Price discovery in US money market benchmarks: LIBOR vs. SOFR," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
  44. Foster, Andrew J., 1996. "Price discovery in oil markets: a time varying analysis of the 1990-1991 Gulf conflict," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 231-246, July.
  45. Arunava Bandyopadhyay & Prabina Rajib, 2023. "The impact of Sino–US trade war on price discovery of soybean: A double‐edged sword?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 858-879, July.
  46. Fink, Jason D. & Fink, Kristin E. & Russell, Allison, 2010. "When and how do tropical storms affect markets? The case of refined petroleum," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1283-1290, November.
  47. Sun, Zesheng & Wang, Yaoqing & Zhou, Xu & Yang, Lunan, 2019. "The roundabout from interest rates to commodity prices in China: The role of money flow," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 627-642.
  48. Liang Hu & Yoon‐Jin Lee, 2024. "New evidence on crude oil market efficiency," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(2), pages 892-916, April.
  49. Dan Zhang & Arash Farnoosh & Frédéric Lantz, 2022. "Does Something Change in the Oil Market with the COVID-19 Crisis ?," Post-Print hal-03601767, HAL.
  50. Mallika Kumar & M. M. Sulphey, 2015. "Investment Option in Gold – A Study on Price Discovery of Gold Futures in India," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 4(4), pages 231-238, November.
  51. Dimpfl, Thomas & Flad, Michael & Jung, Robert C., 2017. "Price discovery in agricultural commodity markets in the presence of futures speculation," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 50-62.
  52. Kim, Jaeho & Linn, Scott C., 2022. "Price discovery under model uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  53. Xu Xiaojie, 2018. "Linear and Nonlinear Causality between Corn Cash and Futures Prices," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 1-16, November.
  54. Stefan, Martin & Wellenreuther, Claudia, 2020. "London vs. Leipzig: Price discovery of carbon futures during Phase III of the ETS," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  55. Xuedong Wu & Jeffrey H. Dorfman & Berna Karali, 2018. "The impact of data frequency on market efficiency tests of commodity futures prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 696-714, June.
  56. Carnazza, Giovanni & Liberati, Paolo, 2021. "The asymmetric impact of the pandemic crisis on interest rates on public debt in the Eurozone," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 521-542.
  57. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang & Liyu Liu, 2023. "Asymmetric price adjustment and price discovery in spot and futures markets of agricultural commodities," Review of Economic Design, Springer;Society for Economic Design, vol. 27(1), pages 139-162, February.
  58. Yiuman Tse, 2010. "The Relationship between Commodity Prices and Currency Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Futures Markets," Working Papers 0005, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
  59. Martin T. Bohl & Alexander Pütz & Pierre L. Siklos & Christoph Sulewski, 2018. "Information Transmission under Increasing Political Tension – Evidence for the Berlin Produce Exchange 1887-1896," CQE Working Papers 7618, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
  60. Ziliang Yu & Jian Yang & Robert I. Webb, 2023. "Price discovery in China's crude oil futures markets: An emerging Asian benchmark?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 297-324, March.
  61. Giovanni Carnazza, 2024. "The Impact of the Social Mood on the Italian Sovereign Debt Market: A Twitter Perspective," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 10(1), pages 125-154, March.
  62. Kao, Erin H. & Ho, Tsung-wu & Fung, Hung-Gay, 2015. "Price linkage between the US and Japanese futures across different time zones: An analysis of the minute-by-minute data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 321-336.
  63. Bingcheng Yan & Eric Zivot, 2007. "A Structural Analysis of Price Discovery Measures," Working Papers UWEC-2006-08-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2007.
  64. Dan Zhang & Arash Farnoosh & Frédéric Lantz, 2022. "Does something change in the oil market with the COVID-19 crisis?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 252-268.
  65. Minho Kim & Andrew C. Szakmary & Thomas V. Schwarz, 1999. "Trading costs and price discovery across stock index futures and cash markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(4), pages 475-498, June.
  66. Wu, Lei & Zeng, Hongchao, 2019. "The impact of liquidity constraints on the cash-futures basis dynamics: Evidence from the Chinese market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 96-110.
  67. Weiping Li & Wenwen Liu, 2021. "Investor sentiment‐styled index in index futures market," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 51-72, January.
  68. Xiaojie Xu, 2018. "Causal structure among US corn futures and regional cash prices in the time and frequency domain," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(13), pages 2455-2480, October.
  69. Xiaojie Xu, 2018. "Intraday price information flows between the CSI300 and futures market: an application of wavelet analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1267-1295, May.
  70. G. Geoffrey Booth & Paul Brockman & Yiuman Tse, 1998. "The relationship between US and Canadian wheat futures," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 73-80.
  71. Martin T. Bohl & Alexander Pütz & Pierre L. Siklos & Christoph Sulewski, 2021. "Information transmission under increasing political tensions—Evidence from the Berlin Produce Exchange 1887–1896," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 226-244, February.
  72. Buckle, Mike & Chen, Jing & Guo, Qian & Tong, Chen, 2018. "Do ETFs lead the price moves? Evidence from the major US markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 91-103.
  73. Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Kalaitzoglou, Iordanis Angelos, 2016. "Why do carbon prices and price volatility change?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 76-94.
  74. A. Mazaheri, 1999. "Convenience yield, mean reverting prices, and long memory in the petroleum market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 31-50.
  75. Lucia BALDI & Massimo PERI & Daniela VANDONE, 2011. "Spot and future prices of agricultural commodities: fundamentals and speculation," Departmental Working Papers 2011-03, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
  76. Xiaojie Xu, 2018. "Cointegration and price discovery in US corn cash and futures markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1889-1923, December.
  77. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Zied Ftiti & Waël Louhichi, 2022. "Revisiting the relationship between spot and futures markets: evidence from commodity markets and NARDL framework," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 171-189, June.
  78. Mohammed S. Khaled & Stephen P. Keef, 2014. "On the dynamics of international stock market efficiency," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-11, December.
  79. Hoffman, Linwood A. & Arnade, Carlos Anthony, 2018. "Price Relationships in a Changing International Corn Market," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273972, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  80. Lean, Hooi Hooi & McAleer, Michael & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2015. "Preferences of risk-averse and risk-seeking investors for oil spot and futures before, during and after the Global Financial Crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 204-216.
  81. Avinash & T. Mallikarjunappa, 2024. "Do Spot, Futures, and Options Markets Exhibit Price and Volatility Interdependence? Evidence from India," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 13(1), pages 100-117, June.
  82. Philipp Adämmer & Martin T. Bohl, 2018. "Price discovery dynamics in European agricultural markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 549-562, May.
  83. Ederington, Louis H. & Fernando, Chitru S. & Hoelscher, Seth A. & Lee, Thomas K. & Linn, Scott C., 2019. "Characteristics of petroleum product prices: A survey," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 1-15.
  84. Salman Sarwat & Muhammad Kashif & Muhammad Aqil & Farhan Ahmed, 2019. "Determination of Causality in Prices of Crude Oil," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 298-304.
  85. Burns, Christopher B. & Kane, Stephen, 2022. "Arbitrage breakdown in WTI crude oil futures: An analysis of the events on April 20, 2020," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
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