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Time to include time to death? The future of health care expenditure predictions

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Cited by:

  1. Joan Costa‐Font & Cristina Vilaplana‐Prieto, 2020. "‘More than one red herring'? Heterogeneous effects of ageing on health care utilisation," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(S1), pages 8-29, October.
  2. Edward Norton & Hua Wang & Sally Stearns, 2006. "Behavioral Implications of Out-of-Pocket Health Care Expenditures," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 142(V), pages 3-11.
  3. Colombier, Carsten & Weber, Werner, 2009. "Projecting health-care expenditure for Switzerland: further evidence against the 'red-herring' hypothesis," MPRA Paper 26747, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2009.
  4. Louise Sheiner, 2009. "Intergenerational aspects of health care," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-38, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  5. Yu, Tiffany Hui-Kuang & Wang, David Han-Min & Wu, Kuo-Lun, 2015. "Reexamining the red herring effect on healthcare expenditures," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(4), pages 783-787.
  6. Fabio Pammolli & Francesco Porcelli & Francesco Vidoli & Monica Auteri & Guido Borà, 2017. "La spesa sanitaria delle Regioni in Italia - Saniregio2017," Working Papers CERM 01-2017, Competitività, Regole, Mercati (CERM).
  7. Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 2005. "Who’s Going Broke? Comparing Growth in Healthcare Costs in Ten OECD Countries," Working Papers id:286, eSocialSciences.
  8. S. P. Thi颡ut & T. Barnay & B. Ventelou, 2013. "Ageing, chronic conditions and the evolution of future drugs expenditure: a five-year micro-simulation from 2004 to 2029," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(13), pages 1663-1672, May.
  9. Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Thomas Niebel, 2015. "Health care expenditures and longevity: is there a Eubie Blake effect?," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 16(1), pages 95-112, January.
  10. Serap Taskaya & Mustafa Demirkiran, 2016. "The Causality between Healthcare Resources and Health Expenditures in Turkey. A Granger Causality Method," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 6(2), pages 98-103, April.
  11. Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz, 2021. "The “red herring” after 20 years: ageing and health care expenditures," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 22(5), pages 661-667, July.
  12. Pääkkönen, Jenni & Seppälä, Timo, 2012. "Dimensions of health care system quality in Finland," Working Papers 31, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  13. Stefan Felder & Peter Zweifel & Andreas Werblow, 2006. "Population Ageing and Health Care Expenditure: Is Long-term Care Different?," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 142(V), pages 43-48.
  14. Stefan Felder, 2013. "The Impact of Demographic Change on Healthcare Expenditure," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 11(01), pages 03-06, April.
  15. Lindgren, Björn, 2016. "The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Health and Social Care," Working Papers 142, National Institute of Economic Research.
  16. Wubulihasimu, Parida & Gheorghe, Maria & Slobbe, Lany & Polder, Johan & van Baal, Pieter, 2015. "Trends in Dutch hospital spending by age and disease 1994–2010," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(3), pages 316-323.
  17. Ed Westerhout & Frank Pellikaan, 2005. "Can we afford to live longer in better health?," CPB Document 85.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  18. Karine Moschetti & Katia Iglesias & Stéphanie Baggio & Venetia Velonaki & Olivier Hugli & Bernard Burnand & Jean-Bernard Daeppen & Jean-Blaise Wasserfallen & Patrick Bodenmann, 2018. "Health care costs of case management for frequent users of the emergency department: Hospital and insurance perspectives," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, September.
  19. Braendle, Thomas & Colombier, Carsten, 2017. "Healthcare expenditure projections up to 2045," MPRA Paper 104737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  20. Fredrik Gregersen, 2014. "The impact of ageing on health care expenditures: a study of steepening," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(9), pages 979-989, December.
  21. Eggli, Yves & Stadelmann, Pierre & Piaget-Rossel, Romain & Marti, Joachim, 2019. "Heterogeneity in The drivers of health expenditures financed by health insurance in a fragmented health system: The case of Switzerland," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(12), pages 1275-1281.
  22. Stefan Felder, 2006. "Lebenserwartung, medizinischer Fortschritt und Gesundheitsausgaben: Theorie und Empirie," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 7(s1), pages 49-73, May.
  23. Karlsson, Martin & Klohn, Florian, 2011. "Some notes on how to catch a red herring Ageing, time-to-death & care costs for older people in Sweden," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 77470, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
  24. Murphy, Michael & Martikainen, Pekka, 2013. "Use of hospital and long-term institutional care services in relation to proximity to death among older people in Finland," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 39-47.
  25. John Sabelhaus & Michael Simpson & Julie Topoleski, 2004. "Incorporating Longevity Effects into Long-Term Medicare Projections: Technical Paper 2004-02," Working Papers 15190, Congressional Budget Office.
  26. Kildemoes, Helle Wallach & Christiansen, Terkel & Gyrd-Hansen, Dorte & Kristiansen, Ivar Sonbo & Andersen, Morten, 2006. "The impact of population ageing on future Danish drug expenditure," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(3), pages 298-311, February.
  27. Elena Demuru & Viviana Egidi, 2016. "Adjusting prospective old-age thresholds by health status: empirical findings and implications. A case study of Italy," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 14(1), pages 131-154.
  28. Vincenzo Atella & Valentina Conti, 2013. "The effect of age and time to death on health care expenditures: the Italian experience," CEIS Research Paper 267, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 12 Nov 2013.
  29. repec:dau:papers:123456789/3883 is not listed on IDEAS
  30. Tim Riffe & Pil H. Chung & Jeroen Spijker & John MacInnes, 2016. "Time-to-death patterns in markers of age and dependency," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 14(1), pages 229-254.
  31. Thomas Barnay & Sophie Thiebault & Bruno Ventelou, 2010. "Ageing, chronic conditions and the evolution of future drugs expenditures," Working Papers halshs-00809736, HAL.
  32. Polder, Johan J. & Barendregt, Jan J. & van Oers, Hans, 2006. "Health care costs in the last year of life--The Dutch experience," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 63(7), pages 1720-1731, October.
  33. Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Gerald Pruckner & Thomas Schober, 2021. "Looking into the Black Box of “Medical Progress”: Rising Health Expenditures by Illness Type and Age," CDL Aging, Health, Labor working papers 2021-01, The Christian Doppler (CD) Laboratory Aging, Health, and the Labor Market, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
  34. repec:dau:papers:123456789/1630 is not listed on IDEAS
  35. Viktor von Wyl, 2019. "Proximity to death and health care expenditure increase revisited: A 15-year panel analysis of elderly persons," Health Economics Review, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-16, December.
  36. Moorin, Rachael Elizabeth & Holman, Cashel D'Arcy James, 2008. "The cost of in-patient care in Western Australia in the last years of life: A population-based data linkage study," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(3), pages 380-390, March.
  37. Stefan Felder, 2013. "The Impact of Demographic Change on Healthcare Expenditure," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 11(1), pages 03-06, 04.
  38. Melberg, Hans Olav & Sørensen, Jan, 2013. "How does end of life costs and increases in life expectancy affect projections of future hospital spending?," HERO Online Working Paper Series 2013:9, University of Oslo, Health Economics Research Programme.
  39. Firl, Daniel J., 2011. "Modeling healthcare quality: life expectancy SURS in the G7 countries and Korea," MPRA Paper 33900, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  40. Silvia Balia & Rinaldo Brau, 2014. "A Country For Old Men? Long‐Term Home Care Utilization In Europe," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(10), pages 1185-1212, October.
  41. Breyer, Friedrich & Felder, Stefan, 2006. "Life expectancy and health care expenditures: A new calculation for Germany using the costs of dying," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 178-186, January.
  42. Ried, Walter, 2006. "Gesundheitsausgaben für Überlebende und Verstorbene im demographischen Wandel: der Einfluss des medizinischen Fortschritts," Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Diskussionspapiere 10/2006, University of Greifswald, Faculty of Law and Economics.
  43. Albert Wong & Pieter H. M. van Baal & Hendriek C. Boshuizen & Johan J. Polder, 2011. "Exploring the influence of proximity to death on disease‐specific hospital expenditures: a carpaccio of red herrings," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 379-400, April.
  44. de Meijer, Claudine & Koopmanschap, Marc & d' Uva, Teresa Bago & van Doorslaer, Eddy, 2011. "Determinants of long-term care spending: Age, time to death or disability?," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 425-438, March.
  45. Claudia Geue & Andrew Briggs & James Lewsey & Paula Lorgelly, 2014. "Population ageing and healthcare expenditure projections: new evidence from a time to death approach," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(8), pages 885-896, November.
  46. Marc Carreras & Pere Ibern & José María Inoriza, 2018. "Ageing and healthcare expenditures: Exploring the role of individual health status," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(5), pages 865-876, May.
  47. Byongho Tchoe & Sang-Ho Nam, 2010. "Aging Risk and Health Care Expenditure in Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 7(8), pages 1-20, August.
  48. Albouy, Valerie & Davezies, Laurent & Debrand, Thierry, 2010. "Health expenditure models: A comparison using panel data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 791-803, July.
  49. Baoping Shang & Dana Goldman, 2008. "Does age or life expectancy better predict health care expenditures?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(4), pages 487-501, April.
  50. Norton, E.C., 2016. "Health and Long-Term Care," Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, in: Piggott, John & Woodland, Alan (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 951-989, Elsevier.
  51. Brigitte Dormont & Hélène Huber, 2006. "Ageing and changes in medical practices : reassessing theinfluence of demography," Post-Print halshs-00274723, HAL.
  52. Karlsson, Martin & Klohn, Florian, 2011. "Some notes on how to catch a red herring - Ageing, time-to-death and care costs for older people in Sweden," HERO Online Working Paper Series 2011:6, University of Oslo, Health Economics Research Programme.
  53. Ried, Walter, 2007. "On the relationship between aging, edical progress and age-specific health care expenditures," Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Diskussionspapiere 08/2007, University of Greifswald, Faculty of Law and Economics.
  54. de Meijer, Claudine & O’Donnell, Owen & Koopmanschap, Marc & van Doorslaer, Eddy, 2013. "Health expenditure growth: Looking beyond the average through decomposition of the full distribution," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 88-105.
  55. Siciliani Luigi, 2013. "The Economics of Long-Term Care," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 343-375, August.
  56. Breyer Friedrich, 2015. "Demographischer Wandel und Gesundheitsausgaben: Theorie, Empirie und Politikimplikationen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 16(3), pages 215-230, October.
  57. Ried, Walter, 2006. "Demographischer Wandel, medizinischer Fortschritt und Ausgaben für Gesundheitsleistungen: eine theoretische Analyse," Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Diskussionspapiere 09/2006, University of Greifswald, Faculty of Law and Economics.
  58. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7972 is not listed on IDEAS
  59. Gregersen, Fredrik Alexander & Godager, Geir, 2013. "Hospital expenditures and the red herring hypothesis: Evidence from a complete national registry," HERO Online Working Paper Series 2013:3, University of Oslo, Health Economics Research Programme.
  60. Howdon, Daniel & Rice, Nigel, 2018. "Health care expenditures, age, proximity to death and morbidity: Implications for an ageing population," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 60-74.
  61. Andreas Werblow & Stefan Felder & Peter Zweifel, 2007. "Population ageing and health care expenditure: a school of ‘red herrings’?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(10), pages 1109-1126, October.
  62. Alfons Palangkaraya & Jongsay Yong, 2009. "Population ageing and its implications on aggregate health care demand: empirical evidence from 22 OECD countries," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 391-402, December.
  63. Vidoli, Francesco & Auteri, Monica, 2022. "Health-care demand and supply at municipal level: A spatial disaggregation approach," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  64. Claudia Geue & Paula Lorgelly & James Lewsey & Carole Hart & Andrew Briggs, 2015. "Hospital Expenditure at the End-of-Life: What Are the Impacts of Health Status and Health Risks?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-14, March.
  65. Hideki Hashimoto & Hiromasa Horiguchi & Shinya Matsuda, 2010. "Micro Data Analysis of Medical and Long-Term Care Utilization Among the Elderly in Japan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 7(8), pages 1-16, July.
  66. Brigitte Dormont & Michel Grignon & Hélène Huber, 2006. "Health expenditure growth: reassessing the threat of ageing," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(9), pages 947-963, September.
  67. Warren C. Sanderson & Sergei Scherbov, 2009. "A New Perspective on Population Ageing," European Demographic Research Papers 0503, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.
  68. Warren C. Sanderson & Sergei Scherbov, 2007. "A new perspective on population aging," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 16(2), pages 27-58.
  69. Anna Kollerup & Jakob Kjellberg & Rikke Ibsen, 2022. "Ageing and health care expenditures: the importance of age per se, steepening of the individual-level expenditure curve, and the role of morbidity," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 23(7), pages 1121-1149, September.
  70. Mauro Laudicella & Paolo Li Donni & Kim Rose Olsen & Dorte Gyrd‐Hansen, 2022. "Age, morbidity, or something else? A residual approach using microdata to measure the impact of technological progress on health care expenditure," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 1184-1201, June.
  71. Jennifer L. Kohn & Jing Shi Liu, 2013. "The Dynamics Of Medical Care Use In The British Household Panel Survey," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(6), pages 687-710, June.
  72. Ed Westerhout & Frank Pellikaan, 2005. "Can we afford to live longer in better health?," CPB Document 85, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  73. Rolden, Herbert J.A. & van Bodegom, David & Westendorp, Rudi G.J., 2014. "Variation in the costs of dying and the role of different health services, socio-demographic characteristics, and preceding health care expenses," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 110-117.
  74. Maria Gheorghe & Werner B. F. Brouwer & Pieter H. M. van Baal, 2015. "Quality of Life and Time to Death," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 35(3), pages 316-327, April.
  75. van Baal, Pieter H. & Wong, Albert, 2012. "Time to death and the forecasting of macro-level health care expenditures: Some further considerations," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 876-887.
  76. Andreas Werblow & Stefan Felder & Peter Zweifel, 2007. "Population ageing and health care expenditure: a school of 'red herrings'?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(10), pages 1109-1126.
  77. Valerie Albouy & Laurent Davezies & Thierry Debrand, 2009. "Dynamic Estimation of Health Expenditure: A new approach for simulating individual expenditure," Working Papers DT20, IRDES institut for research and information in health economics, revised Jan 2009.
  78. Christian Hagist & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 2009. "Who’s going broke? Comparing growth in Public healthcare expenditure in Ten OECD Countries," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 188(1), pages 55-72, March.
  79. France Weaver & Sally C. Stearns & Edward C. Norton & William Spector, 2009. "Proximity to death and participation in the long‐term care market," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(8), pages 867-883, August.
  80. Atella, Vincenzo & Conti, Valentina, 2014. "The effect of age and time to death on primary care costs: The Italian experience," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 10-17.
  81. Christian Hagist & Laurence Kotlikoff, 2005. "Who's Going Broke? Comparing Growth in Healthcare Costs in Ten OECD Countries," NBER Working Papers 11833, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  82. Blanco-Moreno, Ángela & Urbanos-Garrido, Rosa M. & Thuissard-Vasallo, Israel John, 2013. "Public healthcare expenditure in Spain: Measuring the impact of driving factors," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(1), pages 34-42.
  83. Zhou Yang & Donna B. Gilleskie & Edward C. Norton, 2009. "Health Insurance, Medical Care, and Health Outcomes: A Model of Elderly Health Dynamics," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 44(1).
  84. Simon Chang & Yang He & Chee‐Ruey Hsieh, 2014. "The Determinants Of Health Care Expenditure Toward The End Of Life: Evidence From Taiwan," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(8), pages 951-961, August.
  85. repec:ces:ifodic:v:11:y:2013:i:1:p:19078503 is not listed on IDEAS
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